A Multiregional Impact Assessment Model for disaster analysis

This paper presents a recursive dynamic multiregional supply-use model, combining linear programming and input–output (I–O) modeling to assess the economy-wide consequences of a natural disaster on a pan-European scale. It is a supply-use model which considers production technologies and allows for...

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Main Authors: Koks, E, Thissen, M
Format: Journal article
Published: Taylor and Francis 2016
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author Koks, E
Thissen, M
author_facet Koks, E
Thissen, M
author_sort Koks, E
collection OXFORD
description This paper presents a recursive dynamic multiregional supply-use model, combining linear programming and input–output (I–O) modeling to assess the economy-wide consequences of a natural disaster on a pan-European scale. It is a supply-use model which considers production technologies and allows for supply side constraints. The model has been illustrated for three floods in Rotterdam, The Netherlands. Results show that most of the neighboring regions gain from the flood due to increased demand for reconstruction and production capacity constraints in the affected region. Regions located further away or neighboring regions without a direct export link to the affected region mostly suffered small losses. These losses are due to the costs of increased inefficiencies in the production process that have to be paid for by all (indirectly) consuming regions. In the end, the floods cause regionally differentiated welfare effects.
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spelling oxford-uuid:c2a77a1e-02cc-48a7-99a0-8a165e583b382022-03-27T06:10:30ZA Multiregional Impact Assessment Model for disaster analysisJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:c2a77a1e-02cc-48a7-99a0-8a165e583b38Symplectic Elements at OxfordTaylor and Francis2016Koks, EThissen, MThis paper presents a recursive dynamic multiregional supply-use model, combining linear programming and input–output (I–O) modeling to assess the economy-wide consequences of a natural disaster on a pan-European scale. It is a supply-use model which considers production technologies and allows for supply side constraints. The model has been illustrated for three floods in Rotterdam, The Netherlands. Results show that most of the neighboring regions gain from the flood due to increased demand for reconstruction and production capacity constraints in the affected region. Regions located further away or neighboring regions without a direct export link to the affected region mostly suffered small losses. These losses are due to the costs of increased inefficiencies in the production process that have to be paid for by all (indirectly) consuming regions. In the end, the floods cause regionally differentiated welfare effects.
spellingShingle Koks, E
Thissen, M
A Multiregional Impact Assessment Model for disaster analysis
title A Multiregional Impact Assessment Model for disaster analysis
title_full A Multiregional Impact Assessment Model for disaster analysis
title_fullStr A Multiregional Impact Assessment Model for disaster analysis
title_full_unstemmed A Multiregional Impact Assessment Model for disaster analysis
title_short A Multiregional Impact Assessment Model for disaster analysis
title_sort multiregional impact assessment model for disaster analysis
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