Probabilistic load forecasting using post-processed weather ensemble predictions

Probabilistic load forecasting using post-processed weather ensemble predictions

Probabilistic forecasting of electricity demand (load) facilitates the efficient management and operations of energy systems. Weather is a key determinant of load. However, modelling load using weather is challenging because the relationship cannot be assumed to be linear. Although numerous studies...

Descrizione completa

Dettagli Bibliografici
Autori principali:	Ludwig, N, Arora, S, Taylor, JW
Natura:	Journal article
Lingua:	English
Pubblicazione:	Taylor and Francis 2022

Documenti analoghi

Neural Network Load Forecasting with Weather Ensemble Predictions
di: Taylor, J, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2002)

Using Weather Ensemble Predictions in Electricity Demand Forecasting
di: Taylor, J, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2003)

Quantile Regression Post-Processing of Weather Forecast for Short-Term Solar Power Probabilistic Forecasting
di: Luca Massidda, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2018-07-01)

Flood forecasting using medium-range probabilistic weather prediction
di: B. T. Gouweleeuw, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2005-01-01)

Probabilistic forecasting of patient waiting times in an emergency department
di: Arora, S, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2023)

The Use of Ensembles in Space Weather Forecasting
di: J. A. Guerra, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2020-02-01)

Singular vectors, predictability and ensemble forecasting for weather and climate
di: Palmer, T, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2013)

Comparison of probabilistic post-processing approaches for improving numerical weather prediction-based daily and weekly reference evapotranspiration forecasts
di: H. Medina, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2020-03-01)

Evaluating ensemble post‐processing for wind power forecasts
di: Kaleb Phipps, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2022-08-01)

The performance of the weather research & forecasting model (WRF) using ensemble method to predict weather parameters
di: Pratama Alvin, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2025-01-01)

Skill prediction of local weather forecasts based on the ECMWF ensemble
di: C. Ziehmann
Pubblicazione: (2001-01-01)

Nonlinear model evaluation: $\iota$ shadowing, probabilistic prediction and weather forecasting
di: Gilmour, I
Pubblicazione: (1999)

Weather forecasting : the next generation : the potential use and implementation of ensemble forecasting
di: Goto, Susumu
Pubblicazione: (2008)

Probabilistic Ensemble Forecast of Summertime Temperatures in Pakistan
di: Muhammad Hanif
Pubblicazione: (2014-01-01)

Probabilistic thunderstorm forecasting by blending multiple ensembles
di: François Bouttier, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2020-01-01)

Beating the Uncertainties: Ensemble Forecasting and Ensemble-Based Data Assimilation in Modern Numerical Weather Prediction
di: Hailing Zhang, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2010-01-01)

The communicative process of weather forecasts issued in the probabilistic form (Italian original version)
di: Alessio Raimondi
Pubblicazione: (2009-03-01)

Combining probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States
di: Taylor, JW, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2021)

A seamless blended multi‐model ensemble approach to probabilistic medium‐range weather pattern forecasts over the UK
di: Robert Neal, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2024-01-01)

Probabilistic forecasting of shallow, rainfall-triggered landslides using real-time numerical weather predictions
di: J. Schmidt, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2008-04-01)

Communicating probabilistic information from climate model ensembles—lessons from numerical weather prediction
di: Stephens, E, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2012)

Additive Ensemble Neural Network with Constrained Weighted Quantile Loss for Probabilistic Electric-Load Forecasting
di: Manuel Lopez-Martin, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2021-04-01)

Probabilistic Solar Proxy Forecasting With Neural Network Ensembles
di: Joshua D. Daniell, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2023-09-01)

Statistical post‐processing of visibility ensemble forecasts
di: Sándor Baran, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2023-09-01)

Regionalization of post-processed ensemble runoff forecasts
di: J. O. Skøien, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2016-05-01)

Event attribution of a midlatitude windstorm using ensemble weather forecasts
di: Shirin Ermis, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2024-01-01)

Extreme rainfall prediction using the European centre for medium-range weather forecasts ensemble prediction system
di: Petroliagis, T, et al.
Pubblicazione: (1996)

Adapting Ensemble‐Calibration Techniques to Probabilistic Solar‐Wind Forecasting
di: N. O. Edward‐Inatimi, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2024-12-01)

Probabilistic load forecast by using Markov chain
di: Harmen, Kevin
Pubblicazione: (2017)

Comparison of data-driven methods for downscaling ensemble weather forecasts
di: Xiaoli Liu, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2008-03-01)

Probabilistic Solar Generation Forecasting for Rapidly Changing Weather Conditions
di: Cheng Lyu, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2024-01-01)

Fire Weather Index: the skill provided by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble prediction system
di: F. Di Giuseppe, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2020-08-01)

Post-processing rainfall forecasts from numerical weather prediction models for short-term streamflow forecasting
di: D. E. Robertson, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2013-09-01)

Event attribution of a midlatitude windstorm using ensemble weather forecasts
di: Ermis, S, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2024)

Anticipatory water management : using ensemble weather forecasts for critical events /
di: 187550 Van Andel, Schalk-Jan
Pubblicazione: (2009)

Fog probabilistic forecasting using an ensemble prediction system at six airports in Iran for 10 fog events
di: R. Pahlavan, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2021-11-01)

Ensemble Learning Approach for Probabilistic Forecasting of Solar Power Generation
di: Azhar Ahmed Mohammed, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2016-12-01)

Hierarchical probabilistic forecasting of electricity demand with smart meter data
di: Taieb, SB, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2020)

Parametric model for post-processing visibility ensemble forecasts
di: Á. Baran, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2024-09-01)

Probabilistic Load Forecasting With Reservoir Computing
di: Michele Guerra, et al.
Pubblicazione: (2023-01-01)