Cross-impact of order flow imbalance in equity markets

We investigate the impact of order flow imbalance (OFI) on price movements in equity markets in a multi-asset setting. First, we propose a systematic approach for combining OFIs at the top levels of the limit order book into an integrated OFI variable which better explains price impact, compared to...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Cont, R, Cucuringu, M, Zhang, C
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Taylor and Francis 2023
_version_ 1824458733545062400
author Cont, R
Cucuringu, M
Zhang, C
author_facet Cont, R
Cucuringu, M
Zhang, C
author_sort Cont, R
collection OXFORD
description We investigate the impact of order flow imbalance (OFI) on price movements in equity markets in a multi-asset setting. First, we propose a systematic approach for combining OFIs at the top levels of the limit order book into an integrated OFI variable which better explains price impact, compared to the best-level OFI. We show that once the information from multiple levels is integrated into OFI, multi-asset models with cross-impact do not provide additional explanatory power for contemporaneous impact compared to a sparse model without cross-impact terms. On the other hand, we show that lagged cross-asset OFIs do improve the forecasting of future returns. We also establish that this lagged cross-impact mainly manifests at short-term horizons and decays rapidly in time.
first_indexed 2025-02-19T04:30:35Z
format Journal article
id oxford-uuid:c9693e75-bd08-458d-b6ea-90e8a25651e2
institution University of Oxford
language English
last_indexed 2025-02-19T04:30:35Z
publishDate 2023
publisher Taylor and Francis
record_format dspace
spelling oxford-uuid:c9693e75-bd08-458d-b6ea-90e8a25651e22024-12-16T15:08:56ZCross-impact of order flow imbalance in equity marketsJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:c9693e75-bd08-458d-b6ea-90e8a25651e2EnglishSymplectic ElementsTaylor and Francis2023Cont, RCucuringu, MZhang, CWe investigate the impact of order flow imbalance (OFI) on price movements in equity markets in a multi-asset setting. First, we propose a systematic approach for combining OFIs at the top levels of the limit order book into an integrated OFI variable which better explains price impact, compared to the best-level OFI. We show that once the information from multiple levels is integrated into OFI, multi-asset models with cross-impact do not provide additional explanatory power for contemporaneous impact compared to a sparse model without cross-impact terms. On the other hand, we show that lagged cross-asset OFIs do improve the forecasting of future returns. We also establish that this lagged cross-impact mainly manifests at short-term horizons and decays rapidly in time.
spellingShingle Cont, R
Cucuringu, M
Zhang, C
Cross-impact of order flow imbalance in equity markets
title Cross-impact of order flow imbalance in equity markets
title_full Cross-impact of order flow imbalance in equity markets
title_fullStr Cross-impact of order flow imbalance in equity markets
title_full_unstemmed Cross-impact of order flow imbalance in equity markets
title_short Cross-impact of order flow imbalance in equity markets
title_sort cross impact of order flow imbalance in equity markets
work_keys_str_mv AT contr crossimpactoforderflowimbalanceinequitymarkets
AT cucuringum crossimpactoforderflowimbalanceinequitymarkets
AT zhangc crossimpactoforderflowimbalanceinequitymarkets