Gender differences in structured risk assessment: comparing the accuracy of five instruments.

Structured risk assessment should guide clinical risk management, but it is uncertain which instrument has the highest predictive accuracy among men and women. In the present study, the authors compared the Psychopathy Checklist-Revised (PCL-R; R. D. Hare, 1991, 2003); the Historical, Clinical, Risk...

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Main Authors: Coid, J, Yang, M, Ullrich, S, Zhang, T, Sizmur, S, Roberts, C, Farrington, D, Rogers, R
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: 2009
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author Coid, J
Yang, M
Ullrich, S
Zhang, T
Sizmur, S
Roberts, C
Farrington, D
Rogers, R
author_facet Coid, J
Yang, M
Ullrich, S
Zhang, T
Sizmur, S
Roberts, C
Farrington, D
Rogers, R
author_sort Coid, J
collection OXFORD
description Structured risk assessment should guide clinical risk management, but it is uncertain which instrument has the highest predictive accuracy among men and women. In the present study, the authors compared the Psychopathy Checklist-Revised (PCL-R; R. D. Hare, 1991, 2003); the Historical, Clinical, Risk Management-20 (HCR-20; C. D. Webster, K. S. Douglas, D. Eaves, and S. D. Hart, 1997); the Risk Matrix 2000-Violence (RM2000[V]; D. Thornton et al., 2003); the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG; V. L. Quinsey, G. T. Harris, M. E. Rice, and C. A. Cormier, 1998); the Offenders Group Reconviction Scale (OGRS; J. B. Copas and P. Marshall, 1998; R. Taylor, 1999); and the total previous convictions among prisoners, prospectively assessed prerelease. The authors compared predischarge measures with subsequent offending and instruments ranked using multivariate regression. Most instruments demonstrated significant but moderate predictive ability. The OGRS ranked highest for violence among men, and the PCL-R and HCR-20 H subscale ranked highest for violence among women. The OGRS and total previous acquisitive convictions demonstrated greatest accuracy in predicting acquisitive offending among men and women. Actuarial instruments requiring no training to administer performed as well as personality assessment and structured risk assessment and were superior among men for violence.
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spelling oxford-uuid:c96b8fa0-5430-40f1-99e5-adcdf02aa6ad2022-03-27T06:59:00ZGender differences in structured risk assessment: comparing the accuracy of five instruments.Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:c96b8fa0-5430-40f1-99e5-adcdf02aa6adEnglishSymplectic Elements at Oxford2009Coid, JYang, MUllrich, SZhang, TSizmur, SRoberts, CFarrington, DRogers, RStructured risk assessment should guide clinical risk management, but it is uncertain which instrument has the highest predictive accuracy among men and women. In the present study, the authors compared the Psychopathy Checklist-Revised (PCL-R; R. D. Hare, 1991, 2003); the Historical, Clinical, Risk Management-20 (HCR-20; C. D. Webster, K. S. Douglas, D. Eaves, and S. D. Hart, 1997); the Risk Matrix 2000-Violence (RM2000[V]; D. Thornton et al., 2003); the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG; V. L. Quinsey, G. T. Harris, M. E. Rice, and C. A. Cormier, 1998); the Offenders Group Reconviction Scale (OGRS; J. B. Copas and P. Marshall, 1998; R. Taylor, 1999); and the total previous convictions among prisoners, prospectively assessed prerelease. The authors compared predischarge measures with subsequent offending and instruments ranked using multivariate regression. Most instruments demonstrated significant but moderate predictive ability. The OGRS ranked highest for violence among men, and the PCL-R and HCR-20 H subscale ranked highest for violence among women. The OGRS and total previous acquisitive convictions demonstrated greatest accuracy in predicting acquisitive offending among men and women. Actuarial instruments requiring no training to administer performed as well as personality assessment and structured risk assessment and were superior among men for violence.
spellingShingle Coid, J
Yang, M
Ullrich, S
Zhang, T
Sizmur, S
Roberts, C
Farrington, D
Rogers, R
Gender differences in structured risk assessment: comparing the accuracy of five instruments.
title Gender differences in structured risk assessment: comparing the accuracy of five instruments.
title_full Gender differences in structured risk assessment: comparing the accuracy of five instruments.
title_fullStr Gender differences in structured risk assessment: comparing the accuracy of five instruments.
title_full_unstemmed Gender differences in structured risk assessment: comparing the accuracy of five instruments.
title_short Gender differences in structured risk assessment: comparing the accuracy of five instruments.
title_sort gender differences in structured risk assessment comparing the accuracy of five instruments
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