The US Tight Oil Revolution and Its Impact on the Gulf Cooperation Countries – Beyond the Supply Shock

While the impact of the increase in US production on prices and on oil market dynamics is yet to be fully felt, as some of the underlying forces still need time to unfold and need to be fully understood, it is important to provide a general framework to help us analyse the US shale revolution and it...

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Main Author: Fattouh, B
Format: Working paper
Language:English
Published: Oxford Institute for Energy Studies 2014
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author Fattouh, B
author_facet Fattouh, B
author_sort Fattouh, B
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description While the impact of the increase in US production on prices and on oil market dynamics is yet to be fully felt, as some of the underlying forces still need time to unfold and need to be fully understood, it is important to provide a general framework to help us analyse the US shale revolution and its potential impacts on oil markets and key Middle East producers. In this paper, we propose a broad framework based on three main aspects: the US tight oil revolution as a positive oil supply shock – with the potential to transform into a global supply shock if hydraulic fracturing technology successfully diffuses to other parts of the world; the US tight oil revolution as a force disrupting the existing trade flow patterns of crude oil, petroleum products, condensates, and NGLs; the development of US shale as a powerful force behind the shift in market perceptions, not only from a position of oil scarcity to one of oil abundance, but also as a shift in terms of the USA’s aspiration to achieve energy independence and how this would impact US foreign policy and its relations with other players, including key Middle East oil exporters.
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spelling oxford-uuid:c9d8e973-5138-4782-9c12-c4ba617cbe412022-03-27T07:02:46ZThe US Tight Oil Revolution and Its Impact on the Gulf Cooperation Countries – Beyond the Supply ShockWorking paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:c9d8e973-5138-4782-9c12-c4ba617cbe41EnglishOxford University Research Archive - ValetOxford Institute for Energy Studies2014Fattouh, BWhile the impact of the increase in US production on prices and on oil market dynamics is yet to be fully felt, as some of the underlying forces still need time to unfold and need to be fully understood, it is important to provide a general framework to help us analyse the US shale revolution and its potential impacts on oil markets and key Middle East producers. In this paper, we propose a broad framework based on three main aspects: the US tight oil revolution as a positive oil supply shock – with the potential to transform into a global supply shock if hydraulic fracturing technology successfully diffuses to other parts of the world; the US tight oil revolution as a force disrupting the existing trade flow patterns of crude oil, petroleum products, condensates, and NGLs; the development of US shale as a powerful force behind the shift in market perceptions, not only from a position of oil scarcity to one of oil abundance, but also as a shift in terms of the USA’s aspiration to achieve energy independence and how this would impact US foreign policy and its relations with other players, including key Middle East oil exporters.
spellingShingle Fattouh, B
The US Tight Oil Revolution and Its Impact on the Gulf Cooperation Countries – Beyond the Supply Shock
title The US Tight Oil Revolution and Its Impact on the Gulf Cooperation Countries – Beyond the Supply Shock
title_full The US Tight Oil Revolution and Its Impact on the Gulf Cooperation Countries – Beyond the Supply Shock
title_fullStr The US Tight Oil Revolution and Its Impact on the Gulf Cooperation Countries – Beyond the Supply Shock
title_full_unstemmed The US Tight Oil Revolution and Its Impact on the Gulf Cooperation Countries – Beyond the Supply Shock
title_short The US Tight Oil Revolution and Its Impact on the Gulf Cooperation Countries – Beyond the Supply Shock
title_sort us tight oil revolution and its impact on the gulf cooperation countries beyond the supply shock
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