Natural resource booms and inequality: theory and evidence

Surprisingly little is known about the impact of resource booms on income inequality in resource rich countries. This paper develops a simple theory, in the context of a two sector growth model in which learning-by-doing drives growth, to explain the time path of inequality following a resource boom...

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Main Authors: Goderis, B, Malone, S
Format: Working paper
Language:English
Published: 2008
Subjects:
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author Goderis, B
Malone, S
author_facet Goderis, B
Malone, S
author_sort Goderis, B
collection OXFORD
description Surprisingly little is known about the impact of resource booms on income inequality in resource rich countries. This paper develops a simple theory, in the context of a two sector growth model in which learning-by-doing drives growth, to explain the time path of inequality following a resource boom. Under plausible conditions, we find that income inequality will fall in the short run immediately after the boom, and will then increase steadily over time as the economy grows, until the initial impact of the boom on inequality disappears. Using panel cointegration methodology for a sample of 90 countries between 1965 and 1999, we tested the predictions of the model empirically. We find strong evidence in support of the theory. Resource booms, especially mineral booms, lower inequality on the year of the boom. This effect then gradually diminishes over time until inequality returns to its pre-boom level in the long run.
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spelling oxford-uuid:cb7143ad-f970-4ca5-8d76-20758ccc115e2022-03-27T07:14:53ZNatural resource booms and inequality: theory and evidenceWorking paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:cb7143ad-f970-4ca5-8d76-20758ccc115eMacro and international economicsEconomicsInnovation,productivity and growthDevelopment economicsEnglishOxford University Research Archive - Valet2008Goderis, BMalone, SSurprisingly little is known about the impact of resource booms on income inequality in resource rich countries. This paper develops a simple theory, in the context of a two sector growth model in which learning-by-doing drives growth, to explain the time path of inequality following a resource boom. Under plausible conditions, we find that income inequality will fall in the short run immediately after the boom, and will then increase steadily over time as the economy grows, until the initial impact of the boom on inequality disappears. Using panel cointegration methodology for a sample of 90 countries between 1965 and 1999, we tested the predictions of the model empirically. We find strong evidence in support of the theory. Resource booms, especially mineral booms, lower inequality on the year of the boom. This effect then gradually diminishes over time until inequality returns to its pre-boom level in the long run.
spellingShingle Macro and international economics
Economics
Innovation,productivity and growth
Development economics
Goderis, B
Malone, S
Natural resource booms and inequality: theory and evidence
title Natural resource booms and inequality: theory and evidence
title_full Natural resource booms and inequality: theory and evidence
title_fullStr Natural resource booms and inequality: theory and evidence
title_full_unstemmed Natural resource booms and inequality: theory and evidence
title_short Natural resource booms and inequality: theory and evidence
title_sort natural resource booms and inequality theory and evidence
topic Macro and international economics
Economics
Innovation,productivity and growth
Development economics
work_keys_str_mv AT goderisb naturalresourceboomsandinequalitytheoryandevidence
AT malones naturalresourceboomsandinequalitytheoryandevidence