Stability of nonlinear AR-GARCH models.

This paper studies the stability of nonlinear autoregressive models with conditionally heteroskedastic errors. We consider a nonlinear autoregression of order p (AR(p)) with the conditional variance specified as a nonlinear first order generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH...

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Príomhchruthaitheoirí: Meitz, M, Saikkonen, P
Formáid: Working paper
Teanga:English
Foilsithe / Cruthaithe: Department of Economics (University of Oxford) 2007
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author Meitz, M
Saikkonen, P
author_facet Meitz, M
Saikkonen, P
author_sort Meitz, M
collection OXFORD
description This paper studies the stability of nonlinear autoregressive models with conditionally heteroskedastic errors. We consider a nonlinear autoregression of order p (AR(p)) with the conditional variance specified as a nonlinear first order generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH(1,1)) model. Conditions under which the model is stable in the sense that its Markov chain representation is geometrically ergodic are provided. This implies the existence of an initial distribution such that the process is strictly stationary and β–mixing. Conditions under which the stationary distribution has finite moments are also given. The results cover several nonlinear specifications recently proposed for both the conditional mean and conditional variance, and only require mild moment conditions.
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spelling oxford-uuid:ccb530a7-fbd6-4b4e-8f15-7048f8a8b9ff2022-03-27T07:23:45ZStability of nonlinear AR-GARCH models.Working paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:ccb530a7-fbd6-4b4e-8f15-7048f8a8b9ffEnglishOxford University Research Archive - ValetDepartment of Economics (University of Oxford)2007Meitz, MSaikkonen, PThis paper studies the stability of nonlinear autoregressive models with conditionally heteroskedastic errors. We consider a nonlinear autoregression of order p (AR(p)) with the conditional variance specified as a nonlinear first order generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH(1,1)) model. Conditions under which the model is stable in the sense that its Markov chain representation is geometrically ergodic are provided. This implies the existence of an initial distribution such that the process is strictly stationary and β–mixing. Conditions under which the stationary distribution has finite moments are also given. The results cover several nonlinear specifications recently proposed for both the conditional mean and conditional variance, and only require mild moment conditions.
spellingShingle Meitz, M
Saikkonen, P
Stability of nonlinear AR-GARCH models.
title Stability of nonlinear AR-GARCH models.
title_full Stability of nonlinear AR-GARCH models.
title_fullStr Stability of nonlinear AR-GARCH models.
title_full_unstemmed Stability of nonlinear AR-GARCH models.
title_short Stability of nonlinear AR-GARCH models.
title_sort stability of nonlinear ar garch models
work_keys_str_mv AT meitzm stabilityofnonlinearargarchmodels
AT saikkonenp stabilityofnonlinearargarchmodels