The importance of stratospheric initial conditions for winter North Atlantic Oscillation predictability and implications for the signal‐to‐noise paradox

The importance of stratospheric initial conditions for winter North Atlantic Oscillation predictability and implications for the signal‐to‐noise paradox

This study investigates the influence of atmospheric initial conditions on winter seasonal forecasts of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Hindcast (or reforecast) experiments – which differ only in their initial conditions – are performed over the period 1960–2009, using prescribed sea surface t...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: O'Reilly, C, Weisheimer, A, Woollings, T, Gray, L, Macleod, D
Format: Journal article
Published: John Wiley and Sons, Ltd. 2018

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