The Doomsday argument, Adam & Eve, UN⁺⁺, and Quantum Joe
The Doomsday argument purports to show that the risk of the human species going extinct soon has been systematically underestimated. This argument has something in common with controversial forms of reasoning in other areas, including: game theoretic problems with imperfect recall, the methodology o...
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Format: | Journal article |
Language: | English |
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Kluwer Academic Publishers
2001
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author | Bostrom, N |
author_facet | Bostrom, N |
author_sort | Bostrom, N |
collection | OXFORD |
description | The Doomsday argument purports to show that the risk of the human species going extinct soon has been systematically underestimated. This argument has something in common with controversial forms of reasoning in other areas, including: game theoretic problems with imperfect recall, the methodology of cosmology, the epistomology of indexical belief, and the debate over so-called fine-tuning arguments for the design hypothesis. The common denominator is a certain premiss: the Self-Sampling Assumption. We present two strands of argument in favor of this assumption. Through a series of throught experiments we then investigate some bizarre <em>prima facie</em> consequences - backward causation, psychic powers, and an apparent conflict with the Principal Principle. |
first_indexed | 2024-03-07T04:44:45Z |
format | Journal article |
id | oxford-uuid:d2d9d916-ac82-494d-82bf-5f54b0b50728 |
institution | University of Oxford |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-07T04:44:45Z |
publishDate | 2001 |
publisher | Kluwer Academic Publishers |
record_format | dspace |
spelling | oxford-uuid:d2d9d916-ac82-494d-82bf-5f54b0b507282022-03-27T08:07:04ZThe Doomsday argument, Adam & Eve, UN⁺⁺, and Quantum JoeJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:d2d9d916-ac82-494d-82bf-5f54b0b50728PhilosophyEnglishOxford University Research Archive - ValetKluwer Academic Publishers2001Bostrom, NThe Doomsday argument purports to show that the risk of the human species going extinct soon has been systematically underestimated. This argument has something in common with controversial forms of reasoning in other areas, including: game theoretic problems with imperfect recall, the methodology of cosmology, the epistomology of indexical belief, and the debate over so-called fine-tuning arguments for the design hypothesis. The common denominator is a certain premiss: the Self-Sampling Assumption. We present two strands of argument in favor of this assumption. Through a series of throught experiments we then investigate some bizarre <em>prima facie</em> consequences - backward causation, psychic powers, and an apparent conflict with the Principal Principle. |
spellingShingle | Philosophy Bostrom, N The Doomsday argument, Adam & Eve, UN⁺⁺, and Quantum Joe |
title | The Doomsday argument, Adam & Eve, UN⁺⁺, and Quantum Joe |
title_full | The Doomsday argument, Adam & Eve, UN⁺⁺, and Quantum Joe |
title_fullStr | The Doomsday argument, Adam & Eve, UN⁺⁺, and Quantum Joe |
title_full_unstemmed | The Doomsday argument, Adam & Eve, UN⁺⁺, and Quantum Joe |
title_short | The Doomsday argument, Adam & Eve, UN⁺⁺, and Quantum Joe |
title_sort | doomsday argument adam amp eve un⁺⁺ and quantum joe |
topic | Philosophy |
work_keys_str_mv | AT bostromn thedoomsdayargumentadamampeveunandquantumjoe AT bostromn doomsdayargumentadamampeveunandquantumjoe |