The Doomsday argument, Adam & Eve, UN⁺⁺, and Quantum Joe

The Doomsday argument purports to show that the risk of the human species going extinct soon has been systematically underestimated. This argument has something in common with controversial forms of reasoning in other areas, including: game theoretic problems with imperfect recall, the methodology o...

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Main Author: Bostrom, N
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Kluwer Academic Publishers 2001
Subjects:
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author Bostrom, N
author_facet Bostrom, N
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description The Doomsday argument purports to show that the risk of the human species going extinct soon has been systematically underestimated. This argument has something in common with controversial forms of reasoning in other areas, including: game theoretic problems with imperfect recall, the methodology of cosmology, the epistomology of indexical belief, and the debate over so-called fine-tuning arguments for the design hypothesis. The common denominator is a certain premiss: the Self-Sampling Assumption. We present two strands of argument in favor of this assumption. Through a series of throught experiments we then investigate some bizarre <em>prima facie</em> consequences - backward causation, psychic powers, and an apparent conflict with the Principal Principle.
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spelling oxford-uuid:d2d9d916-ac82-494d-82bf-5f54b0b507282022-03-27T08:07:04ZThe Doomsday argument, Adam &amp; Eve, UN⁺⁺, and Quantum JoeJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:d2d9d916-ac82-494d-82bf-5f54b0b50728PhilosophyEnglishOxford University Research Archive - ValetKluwer Academic Publishers2001Bostrom, NThe Doomsday argument purports to show that the risk of the human species going extinct soon has been systematically underestimated. This argument has something in common with controversial forms of reasoning in other areas, including: game theoretic problems with imperfect recall, the methodology of cosmology, the epistomology of indexical belief, and the debate over so-called fine-tuning arguments for the design hypothesis. The common denominator is a certain premiss: the Self-Sampling Assumption. We present two strands of argument in favor of this assumption. Through a series of throught experiments we then investigate some bizarre <em>prima facie</em> consequences - backward causation, psychic powers, and an apparent conflict with the Principal Principle.
spellingShingle Philosophy
Bostrom, N
The Doomsday argument, Adam &amp; Eve, UN⁺⁺, and Quantum Joe
title The Doomsday argument, Adam &amp; Eve, UN⁺⁺, and Quantum Joe
title_full The Doomsday argument, Adam &amp; Eve, UN⁺⁺, and Quantum Joe
title_fullStr The Doomsday argument, Adam &amp; Eve, UN⁺⁺, and Quantum Joe
title_full_unstemmed The Doomsday argument, Adam &amp; Eve, UN⁺⁺, and Quantum Joe
title_short The Doomsday argument, Adam &amp; Eve, UN⁺⁺, and Quantum Joe
title_sort doomsday argument adam amp eve un⁺⁺ and quantum joe
topic Philosophy
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