Housing, Credit and Consumer Expenditure.

Many factors have contributed to the development of credit markets, easing access of households to credit. This paper considers the implications of easier credit for the influence of higher house prices on consumer expenditure. It argues that with poorly developed credit markets, the effect is likel...

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Main Author: Muellbauer, J
Format: Conference item
Language:English
Published: 2011
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author Muellbauer, J
author_facet Muellbauer, J
author_sort Muellbauer, J
collection OXFORD
description Many factors have contributed to the development of credit markets, easing access of households to credit. This paper considers the implications of easier credit for the influence of higher house prices on consumer expenditure. It argues that with poorly developed credit markets, the effect is likely to be negative, but becomes positive as access to housing collateral increases and down-payments for first time home buyers fall in relation to values. The implications for differences between countries and changes in consumer behaviour over time are explored. Previous studies are reviewed: the omission of credit liberalization and other controls has often biased estimates of housing 'wealth' effects on consumption. New empirical estimates for the UK and US suggest that there was no housing 'wealth effect' before credit market liberalization, but that the housing collateral effect is now significant, larger than the stock market wealth effect, and about twice as large in the US as the UK.
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spelling oxford-uuid:d37709a6-10dc-4d93-876d-b0f2ef6a9b4a2022-03-27T08:11:17ZHousing, Credit and Consumer Expenditure.Conference itemhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_5794uuid:d37709a6-10dc-4d93-876d-b0f2ef6a9b4aEnglishDepartment of Economics - ePrints2011Muellbauer, JMany factors have contributed to the development of credit markets, easing access of households to credit. This paper considers the implications of easier credit for the influence of higher house prices on consumer expenditure. It argues that with poorly developed credit markets, the effect is likely to be negative, but becomes positive as access to housing collateral increases and down-payments for first time home buyers fall in relation to values. The implications for differences between countries and changes in consumer behaviour over time are explored. Previous studies are reviewed: the omission of credit liberalization and other controls has often biased estimates of housing 'wealth' effects on consumption. New empirical estimates for the UK and US suggest that there was no housing 'wealth effect' before credit market liberalization, but that the housing collateral effect is now significant, larger than the stock market wealth effect, and about twice as large in the US as the UK.
spellingShingle Muellbauer, J
Housing, Credit and Consumer Expenditure.
title Housing, Credit and Consumer Expenditure.
title_full Housing, Credit and Consumer Expenditure.
title_fullStr Housing, Credit and Consumer Expenditure.
title_full_unstemmed Housing, Credit and Consumer Expenditure.
title_short Housing, Credit and Consumer Expenditure.
title_sort housing credit and consumer expenditure
work_keys_str_mv AT muellbauerj housingcreditandconsumerexpenditure