Automatic selection for non-linear models

© 2012 Springer-Verlag London Limited.Our strategy for automatic selection in potentially non-linear processes is: test for non-linearity in the unrestricted linear formulation; if that test rejects, specify a general model using polynomials, to be simplified to a minimal congruent representation; f...

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Main Authors: Castle, J, Hendry, D
Formato: Book section
Publicado: Springer London 2011
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author Castle, J
Hendry, D
author_facet Castle, J
Hendry, D
author_sort Castle, J
collection OXFORD
description © 2012 Springer-Verlag London Limited.Our strategy for automatic selection in potentially non-linear processes is: test for non-linearity in the unrestricted linear formulation; if that test rejects, specify a general model using polynomials, to be simplified to a minimal congruent representation; finally select by encompassing tests of specific non-linear forms against the selected model. Non-linearity poses many problems: extreme observations leading to non-normal (fat-tailed) distributions; collinearity between non-linear functions; usually more variables than observations when approximating the non-linearity; and excess retention of irrelevant variables; but solutions are proposed. A returns-to-education empirical application demonstrates the feasibility of the non-linear automatic model selection algorithm Autometrics.
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spelling oxford-uuid:d461083b-e451-483e-a7b3-81fbe2dbbbe32022-03-27T08:18:02ZAutomatic selection for non-linear modelsBook sectionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_3248uuid:d461083b-e451-483e-a7b3-81fbe2dbbbe3Symplectic Elements at OxfordSpringer London2011Castle, JHendry, D© 2012 Springer-Verlag London Limited.Our strategy for automatic selection in potentially non-linear processes is: test for non-linearity in the unrestricted linear formulation; if that test rejects, specify a general model using polynomials, to be simplified to a minimal congruent representation; finally select by encompassing tests of specific non-linear forms against the selected model. Non-linearity poses many problems: extreme observations leading to non-normal (fat-tailed) distributions; collinearity between non-linear functions; usually more variables than observations when approximating the non-linearity; and excess retention of irrelevant variables; but solutions are proposed. A returns-to-education empirical application demonstrates the feasibility of the non-linear automatic model selection algorithm Autometrics.
spellingShingle Castle, J
Hendry, D
Automatic selection for non-linear models
title Automatic selection for non-linear models
title_full Automatic selection for non-linear models
title_fullStr Automatic selection for non-linear models
title_full_unstemmed Automatic selection for non-linear models
title_short Automatic selection for non-linear models
title_sort automatic selection for non linear models
work_keys_str_mv AT castlej automaticselectionfornonlinearmodels
AT hendryd automaticselectionfornonlinearmodels