Likelihood analysis of a first order autoregressive model with exponential innovations

This paper derives the exact distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of a first-order linear autoregression with an exponential disturbance term. We also show that, even if the process is stationary, the estimator is T-consistent, where T is the sample size. In the unit root case, the estim...

Ամբողջական նկարագրություն

Մատենագիտական մանրամասներ
Հիմնական հեղինակներ: Shephard, N, Nielsen, B
Ձևաչափ: Journal article
Լեզու:English
Հրապարակվել է: Blackwell Publishing 2003
Նկարագրություն
Ամփոփում:This paper derives the exact distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of a first-order linear autoregression with an exponential disturbance term. We also show that, even if the process is stationary, the estimator is T-consistent, where T is the sample size. In the unit root case, the estimator is T2-consistent, while, in the explosive case, the estimator is ρT-consistent. Further, the likelihood ratio test statistic for a simple hypothesis on the autoregressive parameter is asymptotically uniform for all values of the parameter.