Likelihood analysis of a first order autoregressive model with exponential innovations

This paper derives the exact distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of a first-order linear autoregression with an exponential disturbance term. We also show that, even if the process is stationary, the estimator is T-consistent, where T is the sample size. In the unit root case, the estim...

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Main Authors: Shephard, N, Nielsen, B
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Blackwell Publishing 2003
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author Shephard, N
Nielsen, B
author_facet Shephard, N
Nielsen, B
author_sort Shephard, N
collection OXFORD
description This paper derives the exact distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of a first-order linear autoregression with an exponential disturbance term. We also show that, even if the process is stationary, the estimator is T-consistent, where T is the sample size. In the unit root case, the estimator is T2-consistent, while, in the explosive case, the estimator is ρT-consistent. Further, the likelihood ratio test statistic for a simple hypothesis on the autoregressive parameter is asymptotically uniform for all values of the parameter.
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spelling oxford-uuid:d4f26112-a85b-468c-8cf4-a3136f5184ec2022-03-27T08:22:28ZLikelihood analysis of a first order autoregressive model with exponential innovationsJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:d4f26112-a85b-468c-8cf4-a3136f5184ecEnglishDepartment of Economics - ePrintsBlackwell Publishing2003Shephard, NNielsen, BThis paper derives the exact distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of a first-order linear autoregression with an exponential disturbance term. We also show that, even if the process is stationary, the estimator is T-consistent, where T is the sample size. In the unit root case, the estimator is T2-consistent, while, in the explosive case, the estimator is ρT-consistent. Further, the likelihood ratio test statistic for a simple hypothesis on the autoregressive parameter is asymptotically uniform for all values of the parameter.
spellingShingle Shephard, N
Nielsen, B
Likelihood analysis of a first order autoregressive model with exponential innovations
title Likelihood analysis of a first order autoregressive model with exponential innovations
title_full Likelihood analysis of a first order autoregressive model with exponential innovations
title_fullStr Likelihood analysis of a first order autoregressive model with exponential innovations
title_full_unstemmed Likelihood analysis of a first order autoregressive model with exponential innovations
title_short Likelihood analysis of a first order autoregressive model with exponential innovations
title_sort likelihood analysis of a first order autoregressive model with exponential innovations
work_keys_str_mv AT shephardn likelihoodanalysisofafirstorderautoregressivemodelwithexponentialinnovations
AT nielsenb likelihoodanalysisofafirstorderautoregressivemodelwithexponentialinnovations