Coronary heart disease trends in England and Wales from 1984 to 2004: concealed levelling of mortality rates among young adults

Background: Trends in cardiovascular risk factors among UK adults present a complex picture. Ominous increases in obesity and diabetes among young adults raise concerns about subsequent coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality rates in this group. Objective: To examine recent trends in age-specific mo...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: O'Flaherty, M, Ford, E, Allender, S, Scarborough, P, Capewell, S
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: BMJ Publishing Group 2008
Subjects:
_version_ 1826299015087521792
author O'Flaherty, M
Ford, E
Allender, S
Scarborough, P
Capewell, S
author_facet O'Flaherty, M
Ford, E
Allender, S
Scarborough, P
Capewell, S
author_sort O'Flaherty, M
collection OXFORD
description Background: Trends in cardiovascular risk factors among UK adults present a complex picture. Ominous increases in obesity and diabetes among young adults raise concerns about subsequent coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality rates in this group. Objective: To examine recent trends in age-specific mortality rates from CHD particularly those among younger adults. Methods and results: Mortality data from 1984 to 2004 were used to calculate age-specific mortality rates for British adults aged 35+ years, and joinpoint regression was used to assess changes in trends. Overall, the age-adjusted mortality rate decreased by 54.7% in men and by 48.3% in women. However, among men aged 35-44 years, CHD mortality rates in 2002 increased for the first time in over two decades. Furthermore, the recent declines in CHD mortality rates seem to be slowing in both mean and women aged 45-54. Among older adults, however, mortality rates continued to decrease steadily throughout the period. Conclusions: The flattening mortality rates for CHD among younger adults may represent a sentinel event. Deteriorations in medical management of CHD appear implausible. Thus, unfavourable trends in risk factors for CHD, specifically obesity and diabetes, provide the most likely explanation for the observed trends.
first_indexed 2024-03-07T04:55:28Z
format Journal article
id oxford-uuid:d675fd1b-38a0-4a34-bf62-a91740b912f0
institution University of Oxford
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-07T04:55:28Z
publishDate 2008
publisher BMJ Publishing Group
record_format dspace
spelling oxford-uuid:d675fd1b-38a0-4a34-bf62-a91740b912f02022-03-27T08:33:37ZCoronary heart disease trends in England and Wales from 1984 to 2004: concealed levelling of mortality rates among young adultsJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:d675fd1b-38a0-4a34-bf62-a91740b912f0Public HealthEnglishOxford University Research Archive - ValetBMJ Publishing Group2008O'Flaherty, MFord, EAllender, SScarborough, PCapewell, SBackground: Trends in cardiovascular risk factors among UK adults present a complex picture. Ominous increases in obesity and diabetes among young adults raise concerns about subsequent coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality rates in this group. Objective: To examine recent trends in age-specific mortality rates from CHD particularly those among younger adults. Methods and results: Mortality data from 1984 to 2004 were used to calculate age-specific mortality rates for British adults aged 35+ years, and joinpoint regression was used to assess changes in trends. Overall, the age-adjusted mortality rate decreased by 54.7% in men and by 48.3% in women. However, among men aged 35-44 years, CHD mortality rates in 2002 increased for the first time in over two decades. Furthermore, the recent declines in CHD mortality rates seem to be slowing in both mean and women aged 45-54. Among older adults, however, mortality rates continued to decrease steadily throughout the period. Conclusions: The flattening mortality rates for CHD among younger adults may represent a sentinel event. Deteriorations in medical management of CHD appear implausible. Thus, unfavourable trends in risk factors for CHD, specifically obesity and diabetes, provide the most likely explanation for the observed trends.
spellingShingle Public Health
O'Flaherty, M
Ford, E
Allender, S
Scarborough, P
Capewell, S
Coronary heart disease trends in England and Wales from 1984 to 2004: concealed levelling of mortality rates among young adults
title Coronary heart disease trends in England and Wales from 1984 to 2004: concealed levelling of mortality rates among young adults
title_full Coronary heart disease trends in England and Wales from 1984 to 2004: concealed levelling of mortality rates among young adults
title_fullStr Coronary heart disease trends in England and Wales from 1984 to 2004: concealed levelling of mortality rates among young adults
title_full_unstemmed Coronary heart disease trends in England and Wales from 1984 to 2004: concealed levelling of mortality rates among young adults
title_short Coronary heart disease trends in England and Wales from 1984 to 2004: concealed levelling of mortality rates among young adults
title_sort coronary heart disease trends in england and wales from 1984 to 2004 concealed levelling of mortality rates among young adults
topic Public Health
work_keys_str_mv AT oflahertym coronaryheartdiseasetrendsinenglandandwalesfrom1984to2004concealedlevellingofmortalityratesamongyoungadults
AT forde coronaryheartdiseasetrendsinenglandandwalesfrom1984to2004concealedlevellingofmortalityratesamongyoungadults
AT allenders coronaryheartdiseasetrendsinenglandandwalesfrom1984to2004concealedlevellingofmortalityratesamongyoungadults
AT scarboroughp coronaryheartdiseasetrendsinenglandandwalesfrom1984to2004concealedlevellingofmortalityratesamongyoungadults
AT capewells coronaryheartdiseasetrendsinenglandandwalesfrom1984to2004concealedlevellingofmortalityratesamongyoungadults