A model-free approach to continuous-time finance

We present a pathwise approach to continuous-time finance based on causal functional calculus. Our framework does not rely on any probabilistic concept. We introduce a definition of continuous-time self-financing portfolios, which does not rely on any integration concept and show that the value of a...

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Main Authors: Chiu, H, Cont, R
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023
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author Chiu, H
Cont, R
author_facet Chiu, H
Cont, R
author_sort Chiu, H
collection OXFORD
description We present a pathwise approach to continuous-time finance based on causal functional calculus. Our framework does not rely on any probabilistic concept. We introduce a definition of continuous-time self-financing portfolios, which does not rely on any integration concept and show that the value of a self-financing portfolio belongs to a class of nonanticipative functionals, which are pathwise analogs of martingales. We show that if the set of market scenarios is generic in the sense of being stable under certain operations, such self-financing strategies do not give rise to arbitrage. We then consider the problem of hedging a path-dependent payoff across a generic set of scenarios. Applying the transition principle of Rufus Isaacs in differential games, we obtain a pathwise dynamic programming principle for the superhedging cost. We show that the superhedging cost is characterized as the solution of a path-dependent equation. For the Asian option, we obtain an explicit solution.
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spelling oxford-uuid:d7d3b698-80bc-4bf8-8cb3-7e0fb9ac99852023-05-10T10:26:43ZA model-free approach to continuous-time financeJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:d7d3b698-80bc-4bf8-8cb3-7e0fb9ac9985EnglishSymplectic ElementsWiley2023Chiu, HCont, RWe present a pathwise approach to continuous-time finance based on causal functional calculus. Our framework does not rely on any probabilistic concept. We introduce a definition of continuous-time self-financing portfolios, which does not rely on any integration concept and show that the value of a self-financing portfolio belongs to a class of nonanticipative functionals, which are pathwise analogs of martingales. We show that if the set of market scenarios is generic in the sense of being stable under certain operations, such self-financing strategies do not give rise to arbitrage. We then consider the problem of hedging a path-dependent payoff across a generic set of scenarios. Applying the transition principle of Rufus Isaacs in differential games, we obtain a pathwise dynamic programming principle for the superhedging cost. We show that the superhedging cost is characterized as the solution of a path-dependent equation. For the Asian option, we obtain an explicit solution.
spellingShingle Chiu, H
Cont, R
A model-free approach to continuous-time finance
title A model-free approach to continuous-time finance
title_full A model-free approach to continuous-time finance
title_fullStr A model-free approach to continuous-time finance
title_full_unstemmed A model-free approach to continuous-time finance
title_short A model-free approach to continuous-time finance
title_sort model free approach to continuous time finance
work_keys_str_mv AT chiuh amodelfreeapproachtocontinuoustimefinance
AT contr amodelfreeapproachtocontinuoustimefinance
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AT contr modelfreeapproachtocontinuoustimefinance