Temperature, carbon dioxide and methane

1) Globally-representative monthly rates of change of atmospheric carbon dioxide and methane are compared with global rates of change of sea ice and with Arctic and Antarctic air temperatures. 2) Carbon dioxide is very strongly correlated with sea ice dynamics, with the carbon dioxide rate at Maun...

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Main Authors: Hambler, C, Henderson, PA
Format: Working paper
Language:English
Published: 2021
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author Hambler, C
Henderson, PA
author_facet Hambler, C
Henderson, PA
author_sort Hambler, C
collection OXFORD
description 1) Globally-representative monthly rates of change of atmospheric carbon dioxide and methane are compared with global rates of change of sea ice and with Arctic and Antarctic air temperatures. 2) Carbon dioxide is very strongly correlated with sea ice dynamics, with the carbon dioxide rate at Mauna Loa lagging sea ice extent rate by 7 months. 3) Methane is very strongly correlated with sea ice dynamics, with the global (and Mauna Loa) methane rate lagging sea ice extent rate by 5 months. 4) Sea ice melt rate peaks in very tight synchrony with temperature in each Hemisphere. 5) The very high synchrony of the two gases is most parsimoniously explained by a common causality acting in both Hemispheres. 6) Results are consistent with a proposed role of a high-latitude temperature-dependent abiotic variable such as sea ice in the annual cycles of carbon dioxide and methane. 7) If sea ice does not drive the net flux of these gases, it is a highly precise proxy for whatever does. 8) Potential mechanisms should be investigated urgently.
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spelling oxford-uuid:d84c2341-51ab-4359-8aec-762b099429952022-03-27T08:47:16ZTemperature, carbon dioxide and methaneWorking paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:d84c2341-51ab-4359-8aec-762b09942995EnglishSymplectic Elements2021Hambler, CHenderson, PA1) Globally-representative monthly rates of change of atmospheric carbon dioxide and methane are compared with global rates of change of sea ice and with Arctic and Antarctic air temperatures. 2) Carbon dioxide is very strongly correlated with sea ice dynamics, with the carbon dioxide rate at Mauna Loa lagging sea ice extent rate by 7 months. 3) Methane is very strongly correlated with sea ice dynamics, with the global (and Mauna Loa) methane rate lagging sea ice extent rate by 5 months. 4) Sea ice melt rate peaks in very tight synchrony with temperature in each Hemisphere. 5) The very high synchrony of the two gases is most parsimoniously explained by a common causality acting in both Hemispheres. 6) Results are consistent with a proposed role of a high-latitude temperature-dependent abiotic variable such as sea ice in the annual cycles of carbon dioxide and methane. 7) If sea ice does not drive the net flux of these gases, it is a highly precise proxy for whatever does. 8) Potential mechanisms should be investigated urgently.
spellingShingle Hambler, C
Henderson, PA
Temperature, carbon dioxide and methane
title Temperature, carbon dioxide and methane
title_full Temperature, carbon dioxide and methane
title_fullStr Temperature, carbon dioxide and methane
title_full_unstemmed Temperature, carbon dioxide and methane
title_short Temperature, carbon dioxide and methane
title_sort temperature carbon dioxide and methane
work_keys_str_mv AT hamblerc temperaturecarbondioxideandmethane
AT hendersonpa temperaturecarbondioxideandmethane