Monetary policy rules for managing aid surges in Africa

This paper examines the properties of alternative monetary policy rules in response to large aid surges in low-income countries characterized by incomplete capital market integration and currency substitution. Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model, it is shown that simple monetary rul...

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Main Authors: Adam, C, O'Connell, S, Buffie, E, Pattillo, C
Format: Journal article
Published: Blackwell Publishing Ltd 2009
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author Adam, C
O'Connell, S
Buffie, E
Pattillo, C
author_facet Adam, C
O'Connell, S
Buffie, E
Pattillo, C
author_sort Adam, C
collection OXFORD
description This paper examines the properties of alternative monetary policy rules in response to large aid surges in low-income countries characterized by incomplete capital market integration and currency substitution. Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model, it is shown that simple monetary rules that stabilize the path of expected future seigniorage for a given aid flow have attractive properties relative to a range of conventional alternatives, including those involving heavy reliance on bond sterilization or a commitment to a pure exchange rate float. These simple rules, which are shown to be robust across a range of fiscal responses to aid inflows, appear to be consistent with actual responses to recent aid surges in a range of post-stabilization countries in Sub-Saharan Africa.
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spelling oxford-uuid:d902f2b5-747d-4a07-8dec-9647121f83942022-03-27T08:52:52ZMonetary policy rules for managing aid surges in AfricaJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:d902f2b5-747d-4a07-8dec-9647121f8394Social Sciences Division - DaisyBlackwell Publishing Ltd2009Adam, CO'Connell, SBuffie, EPattillo, CThis paper examines the properties of alternative monetary policy rules in response to large aid surges in low-income countries characterized by incomplete capital market integration and currency substitution. Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model, it is shown that simple monetary rules that stabilize the path of expected future seigniorage for a given aid flow have attractive properties relative to a range of conventional alternatives, including those involving heavy reliance on bond sterilization or a commitment to a pure exchange rate float. These simple rules, which are shown to be robust across a range of fiscal responses to aid inflows, appear to be consistent with actual responses to recent aid surges in a range of post-stabilization countries in Sub-Saharan Africa.
spellingShingle Adam, C
O'Connell, S
Buffie, E
Pattillo, C
Monetary policy rules for managing aid surges in Africa
title Monetary policy rules for managing aid surges in Africa
title_full Monetary policy rules for managing aid surges in Africa
title_fullStr Monetary policy rules for managing aid surges in Africa
title_full_unstemmed Monetary policy rules for managing aid surges in Africa
title_short Monetary policy rules for managing aid surges in Africa
title_sort monetary policy rules for managing aid surges in africa
work_keys_str_mv AT adamc monetarypolicyrulesformanagingaidsurgesinafrica
AT oconnells monetarypolicyrulesformanagingaidsurgesinafrica
AT buffiee monetarypolicyrulesformanagingaidsurgesinafrica
AT pattilloc monetarypolicyrulesformanagingaidsurgesinafrica