Alternatives to stabilization scenarios
Studies attempting to constrain climate sensitivity, or equilibrium surface warming in response to a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide, by comparing models with observations report a wide range of distributions, particularly regarding the upper bound. There is, by contrast, a considerable conse...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Journal article |
| Language: | English |
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2006
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| _version_ | 1797099844556292096 |
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| author | Frame, D Stone, D Stott, P Allen, M |
| author_facet | Frame, D Stone, D Stott, P Allen, M |
| author_sort | Frame, D |
| collection | OXFORD |
| description | Studies attempting to constrain climate sensitivity, or equilibrium surface warming in response to a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide, by comparing models with observations report a wide range of distributions, particularly regarding the upper bound. There is, by contrast, a considerable consensus surrounding the transient climate response, in large part because it is directly related to observed warming attributable to greenhouse gases. We argue that scenarios which can exploit this consensus may be preferable to stabilization scenarios for practical policy-making purposes. The difficulty of ruling out a high equilibrium warming response to elevated carbon dioxide levels may provide an opportunity for reassessment of the stabilization scenario as the centerpiece of climate policy in favour of scenarios that are more directly constrained by the transient response. Copyright 2006 by the American Geophysical Union. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-07T05:29:24Z |
| format | Journal article |
| id | oxford-uuid:e1b30493-8e23-42c1-b786-8636ef4b6bcf |
| institution | University of Oxford |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-07T05:29:24Z |
| publishDate | 2006 |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oxford-uuid:e1b30493-8e23-42c1-b786-8636ef4b6bcf2022-03-27T09:56:13ZAlternatives to stabilization scenariosJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:e1b30493-8e23-42c1-b786-8636ef4b6bcfEnglishSymplectic Elements at Oxford2006Frame, DStone, DStott, PAllen, MStudies attempting to constrain climate sensitivity, or equilibrium surface warming in response to a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide, by comparing models with observations report a wide range of distributions, particularly regarding the upper bound. There is, by contrast, a considerable consensus surrounding the transient climate response, in large part because it is directly related to observed warming attributable to greenhouse gases. We argue that scenarios which can exploit this consensus may be preferable to stabilization scenarios for practical policy-making purposes. The difficulty of ruling out a high equilibrium warming response to elevated carbon dioxide levels may provide an opportunity for reassessment of the stabilization scenario as the centerpiece of climate policy in favour of scenarios that are more directly constrained by the transient response. Copyright 2006 by the American Geophysical Union. |
| spellingShingle | Frame, D Stone, D Stott, P Allen, M Alternatives to stabilization scenarios |
| title | Alternatives to stabilization scenarios |
| title_full | Alternatives to stabilization scenarios |
| title_fullStr | Alternatives to stabilization scenarios |
| title_full_unstemmed | Alternatives to stabilization scenarios |
| title_short | Alternatives to stabilization scenarios |
| title_sort | alternatives to stabilization scenarios |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT framed alternativestostabilizationscenarios AT stoned alternativestostabilizationscenarios AT stottp alternativestostabilizationscenarios AT allenm alternativestostabilizationscenarios |