Epistemic Decision Theory

I explore the prospects for modelling epistemic rationality (in the probabilist setting) via an epistemic decision theory, in a consequentialist spirit. Previous work has focused on cases in which the truth-values of the propositions in which the agent is selecting credences do not depend, either ca...

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Main Author: Greaves, H
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Oxford University Press 2013
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author Greaves, H
author_facet Greaves, H
author_sort Greaves, H
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description I explore the prospects for modelling epistemic rationality (in the probabilist setting) via an epistemic decision theory, in a consequentialist spirit. Previous work has focused on cases in which the truth-values of the propositions in which the agent is selecting credences do not depend, either causally or merely evidentially, on the agent's choice of credences. Relaxing that restriction leads to a proliferation of puzzle cases and theories to deal with them, including epistemic analogues of evidential and causal decision theory, and of the Newcomb Problem and 'Psychopath Button' Problem. A variant of causal epistemic decision theory deals well with most cases. However, there is a recalcitrant class of problem cases for which no epistemic decision theory seems able to match our intuitive judgements of epistemic rationality. This lends both precision and credence to the view that there is a fundamental mismatch between epistemic consequentialism and the intuitive notion of epistemic rationality; the implications for understanding the latter are briefly discussed. © 2013 Greaves.
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spelling oxford-uuid:e2f10238-68f5-4f4f-87a2-eff1ea3889752022-03-27T10:05:14ZEpistemic Decision TheoryJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:e2f10238-68f5-4f4f-87a2-eff1ea388975EnglishSymplectic Elements at OxfordOxford University Press2013Greaves, HI explore the prospects for modelling epistemic rationality (in the probabilist setting) via an epistemic decision theory, in a consequentialist spirit. Previous work has focused on cases in which the truth-values of the propositions in which the agent is selecting credences do not depend, either causally or merely evidentially, on the agent's choice of credences. Relaxing that restriction leads to a proliferation of puzzle cases and theories to deal with them, including epistemic analogues of evidential and causal decision theory, and of the Newcomb Problem and 'Psychopath Button' Problem. A variant of causal epistemic decision theory deals well with most cases. However, there is a recalcitrant class of problem cases for which no epistemic decision theory seems able to match our intuitive judgements of epistemic rationality. This lends both precision and credence to the view that there is a fundamental mismatch between epistemic consequentialism and the intuitive notion of epistemic rationality; the implications for understanding the latter are briefly discussed. © 2013 Greaves.
spellingShingle Greaves, H
Epistemic Decision Theory
title Epistemic Decision Theory
title_full Epistemic Decision Theory
title_fullStr Epistemic Decision Theory
title_full_unstemmed Epistemic Decision Theory
title_short Epistemic Decision Theory
title_sort epistemic decision theory
work_keys_str_mv AT greavesh epistemicdecisiontheory