Human population dynamics.
Time-series analysis of parish register series can be used to study human population dynamics at three different levels: (i) The metapopulation of preindustrial rural England. A short wavelength, exogenous oscillation in the burials series of 404 parishes can be detected which, it is suggested, was...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Journal article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2001
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| _version_ | 1797101058507407360 |
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| author | Duncan, S Duncan, C Scott, S |
| author_facet | Duncan, S Duncan, C Scott, S |
| author_sort | Duncan, S |
| collection | OXFORD |
| description | Time-series analysis of parish register series can be used to study human population dynamics at three different levels: (i) The metapopulation of preindustrial rural England. A short wavelength, exogenous oscillation in the burials series of 404 parishes can be detected which, it is suggested, was driven by a cycle of malnutrition associated with wheat prices. (ii) Individual populations, where long-term endogenous oscillations in baptisms and burials of wavelength 30-32 years or 43-44 years can be detected. Their characteristics and causes are explored and elucidated by matrix modelling. (iii) The separate neonatal, post-neonatal, child and adult mortalities in an individual population each show an exogenous short wavelength oscillation and a model is presented to show how these cycles were driven by an oscillation in grain prices and how they interacted. Together, they formed the feedback in a saturated, density-dependent population which was fundamental in controlling the characteristics of the longer wavelength endogenous oscillations in the population dynamics described above. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-07T05:46:32Z |
| format | Journal article |
| id | oxford-uuid:e769566f-d7fb-4c7a-9121-e24f993a0410 |
| institution | University of Oxford |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-07T05:46:32Z |
| publishDate | 2001 |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oxford-uuid:e769566f-d7fb-4c7a-9121-e24f993a04102022-03-27T10:38:25ZHuman population dynamics.Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:e769566f-d7fb-4c7a-9121-e24f993a0410EnglishSymplectic Elements at Oxford2001Duncan, SDuncan, CScott, STime-series analysis of parish register series can be used to study human population dynamics at three different levels: (i) The metapopulation of preindustrial rural England. A short wavelength, exogenous oscillation in the burials series of 404 parishes can be detected which, it is suggested, was driven by a cycle of malnutrition associated with wheat prices. (ii) Individual populations, where long-term endogenous oscillations in baptisms and burials of wavelength 30-32 years or 43-44 years can be detected. Their characteristics and causes are explored and elucidated by matrix modelling. (iii) The separate neonatal, post-neonatal, child and adult mortalities in an individual population each show an exogenous short wavelength oscillation and a model is presented to show how these cycles were driven by an oscillation in grain prices and how they interacted. Together, they formed the feedback in a saturated, density-dependent population which was fundamental in controlling the characteristics of the longer wavelength endogenous oscillations in the population dynamics described above. |
| spellingShingle | Duncan, S Duncan, C Scott, S Human population dynamics. |
| title | Human population dynamics. |
| title_full | Human population dynamics. |
| title_fullStr | Human population dynamics. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Human population dynamics. |
| title_short | Human population dynamics. |
| title_sort | human population dynamics |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT duncans humanpopulationdynamics AT duncanc humanpopulationdynamics AT scotts humanpopulationdynamics |