Unveiling the underlying drivers of Phanerozoic marine diversification

In investigating global patterns of biodiversity through deep time, many large-scale drivers of diversification have been proposed, both biotic and abiotic. However, few robust conclusions about these hypothesized effectors or their roles have been drawn. Here, we use a linear stochastic differentia...

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Huvudupphovsmän: Wilson, CJ, Reitan, T, Liow, LH
Materialtyp: Journal article
Språk:English
Publicerad: The Royal Society 2024
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author Wilson, CJ
Reitan, T
Liow, LH
author_facet Wilson, CJ
Reitan, T
Liow, LH
author_sort Wilson, CJ
collection OXFORD
description In investigating global patterns of biodiversity through deep time, many large-scale drivers of diversification have been proposed, both biotic and abiotic. However, few robust conclusions about these hypothesized effectors or their roles have been drawn. Here, we use a linear stochastic differential equation (SDE) framework to test for the presence of underlying drivers of diversification patterns before examining specific hypothesized drivers. Using a global dataset of observations of skeletonized marine fossils, we infer origination, extinction and sampling rates (collectively called fossil time series) throughout the Phanerozoic using a capture–mark–recapture approach. Using linear SDEs, we then compare models including and excluding hidden (i.e. unmeasured) drivers of these fossil time series. We find evidence of large-scale underlying drivers of marine Phanerozoic diversification rates and present quantitative characterizations of these. We then test whether changing global temperature, sea-level, marine sediment area or continental fragmentation could act as drivers of the fossil time series. We show that it is unlikely any of these four abiotic factors are the hidden drivers we identified, though there is evidence for correlative links between sediment area and origination/extinction rates. Our characterization of the hidden drivers of Phanerozoic diversification and sampling will aid in the search for their ultimate identities.
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spelling oxford-uuid:e83f8dba-8b9c-4d2c-8445-a8b901bad3ba2024-06-19T20:04:51ZUnveiling the underlying drivers of Phanerozoic marine diversificationJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:e83f8dba-8b9c-4d2c-8445-a8b901bad3baEnglishJisc Publications RouterThe Royal Society2024Wilson, CJReitan, TLiow, LHIn investigating global patterns of biodiversity through deep time, many large-scale drivers of diversification have been proposed, both biotic and abiotic. However, few robust conclusions about these hypothesized effectors or their roles have been drawn. Here, we use a linear stochastic differential equation (SDE) framework to test for the presence of underlying drivers of diversification patterns before examining specific hypothesized drivers. Using a global dataset of observations of skeletonized marine fossils, we infer origination, extinction and sampling rates (collectively called fossil time series) throughout the Phanerozoic using a capture–mark–recapture approach. Using linear SDEs, we then compare models including and excluding hidden (i.e. unmeasured) drivers of these fossil time series. We find evidence of large-scale underlying drivers of marine Phanerozoic diversification rates and present quantitative characterizations of these. We then test whether changing global temperature, sea-level, marine sediment area or continental fragmentation could act as drivers of the fossil time series. We show that it is unlikely any of these four abiotic factors are the hidden drivers we identified, though there is evidence for correlative links between sediment area and origination/extinction rates. Our characterization of the hidden drivers of Phanerozoic diversification and sampling will aid in the search for their ultimate identities.
spellingShingle Wilson, CJ
Reitan, T
Liow, LH
Unveiling the underlying drivers of Phanerozoic marine diversification
title Unveiling the underlying drivers of Phanerozoic marine diversification
title_full Unveiling the underlying drivers of Phanerozoic marine diversification
title_fullStr Unveiling the underlying drivers of Phanerozoic marine diversification
title_full_unstemmed Unveiling the underlying drivers of Phanerozoic marine diversification
title_short Unveiling the underlying drivers of Phanerozoic marine diversification
title_sort unveiling the underlying drivers of phanerozoic marine diversification
work_keys_str_mv AT wilsoncj unveilingtheunderlyingdriversofphanerozoicmarinediversification
AT reitant unveilingtheunderlyingdriversofphanerozoicmarinediversification
AT liowlh unveilingtheunderlyingdriversofphanerozoicmarinediversification