Anthropogenic influence on the 2018 summer warm spell in Europe: the impact of different spatio-temporal scales

We demonstrate that, in attribution studies, events defined over longer time scales generally produce higher probability ratios due to lower interannual variability, reconciling seemingly inconsistent attribution results of Europe’s 2018 summer heatwaves in reported studies.

Manylion Llyfryddiaeth
Prif Awduron: Leach, N, Li, S, Sparrow, S, Van Oldenborgh, GJ, Lott, FC, Weisheimer, A, Allen, MR
Fformat: Journal article
Iaith:English
Cyhoeddwyd: American Meteorological Society 2020
Disgrifiad
Crynodeb:We demonstrate that, in attribution studies, events defined over longer time scales generally produce higher probability ratios due to lower interannual variability, reconciling seemingly inconsistent attribution results of Europe’s 2018 summer heatwaves in reported studies.