Anthropogenic influence on the 2018 summer warm spell in Europe: the impact of different spatio-temporal scales

We demonstrate that, in attribution studies, events defined over longer time scales generally produce higher probability ratios due to lower interannual variability, reconciling seemingly inconsistent attribution results of Europe’s 2018 summer heatwaves in reported studies.

Detalhes bibliográficos
Main Authors: Leach, N, Li, S, Sparrow, S, Van Oldenborgh, GJ, Lott, FC, Weisheimer, A, Allen, MR
Formato: Journal article
Idioma:English
Publicado em: American Meteorological Society 2020
Descrição
Resumo:We demonstrate that, in attribution studies, events defined over longer time scales generally produce higher probability ratios due to lower interannual variability, reconciling seemingly inconsistent attribution results of Europe’s 2018 summer heatwaves in reported studies.