An approach for modelling multiple correlated outcomes in a network of interventions using odds ratios

A multivariate meta-analysis of two or more correlated outcomes is expected to improve precision compared with a series of independent, univariate meta-analyses especially when there are studies reporting some but not all outcomes. Multivariate meta-analysis requires estimates of the within-study co...

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Main Authors: Efthimiou, O, Mavridis, D, Cipriani, A, Leucht, S, Bagos, P, Salanti, G
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: John Wiley and Sons Ltd 2014
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author Efthimiou, O
Mavridis, D
Cipriani, A
Leucht, S
Bagos, P
Salanti, G
author_facet Efthimiou, O
Mavridis, D
Cipriani, A
Leucht, S
Bagos, P
Salanti, G
author_sort Efthimiou, O
collection OXFORD
description A multivariate meta-analysis of two or more correlated outcomes is expected to improve precision compared with a series of independent, univariate meta-analyses especially when there are studies reporting some but not all outcomes. Multivariate meta-analysis requires estimates of the within-study correlations, which are seldom available. Existing methods for analysing multiple outcomes simultaneously are limited to pairwise treatment comparisons. We propose a model for a joint, simultaneous synthesis of multiple dichotomous outcomes in a network of interventions and introduce a simple way to elicit expert opinion for the within-study correlations by utilizing a set of conditional probability parameters. We implement our multiple-outcomes network meta-analysis model within a Bayesian framework, which allows incorporation of expert information. As an example, we analyse two correlated dichotomous outcomes, response to the treatment and dropout rate, in a network of pharmacological interventions for acute mania. The produced estimates have narrower confidence intervals compared with the simple network meta-analysis. We conclude that the proposed model and the suggested prior elicitation method for correlations constitute a useful framework for performing network meta-analysis for multiple outcomes. © 2014 John Wiley and Sons, Ltd.
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spelling oxford-uuid:e98c9e99-a3c8-4f9d-b054-56ca8c1e9af92022-03-27T10:55:05ZAn approach for modelling multiple correlated outcomes in a network of interventions using odds ratiosJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:e98c9e99-a3c8-4f9d-b054-56ca8c1e9af9EnglishSymplectic Elements at OxfordJohn Wiley and Sons Ltd2014Efthimiou, OMavridis, DCipriani, ALeucht, SBagos, PSalanti, GA multivariate meta-analysis of two or more correlated outcomes is expected to improve precision compared with a series of independent, univariate meta-analyses especially when there are studies reporting some but not all outcomes. Multivariate meta-analysis requires estimates of the within-study correlations, which are seldom available. Existing methods for analysing multiple outcomes simultaneously are limited to pairwise treatment comparisons. We propose a model for a joint, simultaneous synthesis of multiple dichotomous outcomes in a network of interventions and introduce a simple way to elicit expert opinion for the within-study correlations by utilizing a set of conditional probability parameters. We implement our multiple-outcomes network meta-analysis model within a Bayesian framework, which allows incorporation of expert information. As an example, we analyse two correlated dichotomous outcomes, response to the treatment and dropout rate, in a network of pharmacological interventions for acute mania. The produced estimates have narrower confidence intervals compared with the simple network meta-analysis. We conclude that the proposed model and the suggested prior elicitation method for correlations constitute a useful framework for performing network meta-analysis for multiple outcomes. © 2014 John Wiley and Sons, Ltd.
spellingShingle Efthimiou, O
Mavridis, D
Cipriani, A
Leucht, S
Bagos, P
Salanti, G
An approach for modelling multiple correlated outcomes in a network of interventions using odds ratios
title An approach for modelling multiple correlated outcomes in a network of interventions using odds ratios
title_full An approach for modelling multiple correlated outcomes in a network of interventions using odds ratios
title_fullStr An approach for modelling multiple correlated outcomes in a network of interventions using odds ratios
title_full_unstemmed An approach for modelling multiple correlated outcomes in a network of interventions using odds ratios
title_short An approach for modelling multiple correlated outcomes in a network of interventions using odds ratios
title_sort approach for modelling multiple correlated outcomes in a network of interventions using odds ratios
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