Luddites, the industrial revolution, and the demographic transition

Technological change was unskilled-labor-biased during the early industrial revolution, but is skill-biased today. This implies a rich set of non-monotonic macroeconomic dynamics which are not embedded in extant unified growth models. We present historical evidence and develop a model which can endo...

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Main Authors: O'Rourke, K, Rahman, A, Taylor, A
Format: Journal article
Published: Springer US* 2013
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author O'Rourke, K
Rahman, A
Taylor, A
author_facet O'Rourke, K
Rahman, A
Taylor, A
author_sort O'Rourke, K
collection OXFORD
description Technological change was unskilled-labor-biased during the early industrial revolution, but is skill-biased today. This implies a rich set of non-monotonic macroeconomic dynamics which are not embedded in extant unified growth models. We present historical evidence and develop a model which can endogenously account for these facts, where factor bias reflects profit-maximizing decisions by innovators. In a setup with directed technological change, and fixed as well as variable costs of education, initial endowments dictate that the early industrial revolution be unskilled-labor-biased. Increasing basic knowledge then causes a growth takeoff, an income-led demand for fewer but more educated children, and a transition to skill-biased technological change in the long run. © 2013 Springer Science+Business Media New York.
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spelling oxford-uuid:ee3128b7-5741-49a8-9280-934014cc2c962022-03-27T11:30:51ZLuddites, the industrial revolution, and the demographic transitionJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:ee3128b7-5741-49a8-9280-934014cc2c96Symplectic Elements at OxfordSpringer US*2013O'Rourke, KRahman, ATaylor, ATechnological change was unskilled-labor-biased during the early industrial revolution, but is skill-biased today. This implies a rich set of non-monotonic macroeconomic dynamics which are not embedded in extant unified growth models. We present historical evidence and develop a model which can endogenously account for these facts, where factor bias reflects profit-maximizing decisions by innovators. In a setup with directed technological change, and fixed as well as variable costs of education, initial endowments dictate that the early industrial revolution be unskilled-labor-biased. Increasing basic knowledge then causes a growth takeoff, an income-led demand for fewer but more educated children, and a transition to skill-biased technological change in the long run. © 2013 Springer Science+Business Media New York.
spellingShingle O'Rourke, K
Rahman, A
Taylor, A
Luddites, the industrial revolution, and the demographic transition
title Luddites, the industrial revolution, and the demographic transition
title_full Luddites, the industrial revolution, and the demographic transition
title_fullStr Luddites, the industrial revolution, and the demographic transition
title_full_unstemmed Luddites, the industrial revolution, and the demographic transition
title_short Luddites, the industrial revolution, and the demographic transition
title_sort luddites the industrial revolution and the demographic transition
work_keys_str_mv AT orourkek ludditestheindustrialrevolutionandthedemographictransition
AT rahmana ludditestheindustrialrevolutionandthedemographictransition
AT taylora ludditestheindustrialrevolutionandthedemographictransition