Trade restrictions and conflict commodities: market reactions to regulations on conflict minerals from the Democratic Republic of the Congo

In this paper, I use an event study approach to investigate the claim that conflict minerals legislation in the United States (US) led to a ban on some mining exports from the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), and that the passage of US regulation caused a ban on both production and trade by r...

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Main Author: Seitz, W
Format: Working paper
Published: University of Oxford 2012
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author Seitz, W
author_facet Seitz, W
author_sort Seitz, W
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description In this paper, I use an event study approach to investigate the claim that conflict minerals legislation in the United States (US) led to a ban on some mining exports from the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), and that the passage of US regulation caused a ban on both production and trade by regulators in the DRC several months later. I also consider the assertion that conflict minerals legislation imposed severe costs for companies that report to the Securities and Exchange Commission in the US. I find that returns for some companies traded on US stock exchanges were sensitive to changes in production in the DRC after the proposed legislation became law in the US. This either suggests that some financial market participants did not expect an immediate full embargo on newly-regulated Congolese mining and trading activities, or that market participants did not expect trade to be halted indefinitely. Reactions to a DRC-imposed ban on production were statistically significant; indicating that additional reductions in trade were not fully anticipated by financial market participants after regulations became law in the US. I also find that among metal and gold mining companies traded on US exchanges, returns were abnormally high when conflict mineral legislation became more probable. Electronic communication manufacturing firms, which as a group were a target for many supporters of conflict mineral regulations, experienced no systematically abnormal returns corresponding to important dates in the US legislative process that I consider, but experienced abnormally positive returns coinciding with the ban on mining in the eastern DRC.
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spelling oxford-uuid:f27d61ed-e6fc-4769-92fc-9879ade6f8b62022-03-27T12:04:11ZTrade restrictions and conflict commodities: market reactions to regulations on conflict minerals from the Democratic Republic of the CongoWorking paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:f27d61ed-e6fc-4769-92fc-9879ade6f8b6Bulk import via SwordSymplectic ElementsUniversity of Oxford2012Seitz, WIn this paper, I use an event study approach to investigate the claim that conflict minerals legislation in the United States (US) led to a ban on some mining exports from the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), and that the passage of US regulation caused a ban on both production and trade by regulators in the DRC several months later. I also consider the assertion that conflict minerals legislation imposed severe costs for companies that report to the Securities and Exchange Commission in the US. I find that returns for some companies traded on US stock exchanges were sensitive to changes in production in the DRC after the proposed legislation became law in the US. This either suggests that some financial market participants did not expect an immediate full embargo on newly-regulated Congolese mining and trading activities, or that market participants did not expect trade to be halted indefinitely. Reactions to a DRC-imposed ban on production were statistically significant; indicating that additional reductions in trade were not fully anticipated by financial market participants after regulations became law in the US. I also find that among metal and gold mining companies traded on US exchanges, returns were abnormally high when conflict mineral legislation became more probable. Electronic communication manufacturing firms, which as a group were a target for many supporters of conflict mineral regulations, experienced no systematically abnormal returns corresponding to important dates in the US legislative process that I consider, but experienced abnormally positive returns coinciding with the ban on mining in the eastern DRC.
spellingShingle Seitz, W
Trade restrictions and conflict commodities: market reactions to regulations on conflict minerals from the Democratic Republic of the Congo
title Trade restrictions and conflict commodities: market reactions to regulations on conflict minerals from the Democratic Republic of the Congo
title_full Trade restrictions and conflict commodities: market reactions to regulations on conflict minerals from the Democratic Republic of the Congo
title_fullStr Trade restrictions and conflict commodities: market reactions to regulations on conflict minerals from the Democratic Republic of the Congo
title_full_unstemmed Trade restrictions and conflict commodities: market reactions to regulations on conflict minerals from the Democratic Republic of the Congo
title_short Trade restrictions and conflict commodities: market reactions to regulations on conflict minerals from the Democratic Republic of the Congo
title_sort trade restrictions and conflict commodities market reactions to regulations on conflict minerals from the democratic republic of the congo
work_keys_str_mv AT seitzw traderestrictionsandconflictcommoditiesmarketreactionstoregulationsonconflictmineralsfromthedemocraticrepublicofthecongo