ENSEMBLES: A new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions-Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs

ENSEMBLES: A new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions-Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs

A new 46-year hindcast dataset for seasonal-to-annual ensemble predictions has been created using a multi-model ensemble of 5 state-of-the-art coupled atmosphere-ocean circulation models. The multi-model outperforms any of the single-models in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs because of reduced RMS...

Bibliográfalaš dieđut
Váldodahkkit:	Weisheimer, A, Doblas-Reyes, F, Palmer, T, Alessandri, A, Arribas, A, Deque, M, Keenlyside, N, MacVean, M, Navarra, A, Rogel, P
Materiálatiipa:	Journal article
Giella:	English
Almmustuhtton:	2009

Geahča maid

Evaluation of Probabilistic Quality and Value of the ENSEMBLES Multimodel Seasonal Forecasts: Comparison with DEMETER
Dahkki: Alessandri, A, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2011)

Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts
Dahkki: Doblas-Reyes, F, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2009)

Development of a European multimodel ensemble system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction (DEMETER)
Dahkki: Palmer, T, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2004)

Assessment of representations of model uncertainty in monthly and seasonal forecast ensembles
Dahkki: Weisheimer, A, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2011)

Assessment of representations of model uncertainty in monthly and seasonal forecast ensembles
Dahkki: Weisheimer, A, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2011)

A new view of seasonal forecast skill: bounding boxes from the DEMETER ensemble forecasts
Dahkki: Weisheimer, A, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2005)

Probabilistic prediction of climate using multi-model ensembles: from basics to applications.
Dahkki: Palmer, T, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2005)

Impact of increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in seasonal ensemble forecasts
Dahkki: Doblas-Reyes, F, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2006)

The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting - II. Calibration and combination
Dahkki: Doblas-Reyes, F, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2005)

The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting - I. Basic concept
Dahkki: Hagedorn, R, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2005)

Optimising the use of ensemble information in numerical weather forecasts of wind power generation
Dahkki: Stanger, J, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2019)

Optimising the use of ensemble information in numerical weather forecasts of wind power generation
Dahkki: J Stanger, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2019-01-01)

Flow dependent ensemble spread in seasonal forecasts of the boreal winter extratropics
Dahkki: MacLeod, D, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2018)

Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles.
Dahkki: Thomson, M, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2006)

Impact of ensemble size on ensemble prediction
Dahkki: Buizza, R, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (1998)

Ensemble sensitivity analysis of Greenland blocking in medium‐range forecasts
Dahkki: Parker, TJ, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2018)

Impact of North Atlantic Tripole and Extratropical North Pacific Extreme SSTs on the 2023/24 El Niño
Dahkki: Chi‐Cherng Hong, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2024-10-01)

Interdecadal change in the relationship between the South China late rainy season rainfall and equatorial Pacific SSTs
Dahkki: Shaolei Tang, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2024-01-01)

Impacts of Pacific SSTs on Atmospheric Circulations Leading to California Winter Precipitation Variability: A Diagnostic Modeling
Dahkki: Boksoon Myoung, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2018-11-01)

Calibrating large-ensemble European climate projections using observational data
Dahkki: C. H. O'Reilly, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2020-11-01)

Ensemble forecasting
Dahkki: Leutbecher, M, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2008)

Calibrating large-ensemble European climate projections using observational data
Dahkki: O'Reilly, C, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2020)

How good is an ensemble at capturing truth? Using bounding boxes for forecast evaluation
Dahkki: Judd, K, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2007)

Impact of model resolution and ensemble size on the performance of an Ensemble Prediction System
Dahkki: Buizza, R, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (1998)

On the predictability of the extreme summer 2003 over Europe
Dahkki: Weisheimer, A, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2011)

The Name of Demeter Thesmophoros
Dahkki: Allaire B. Stallsmith
Almmustuhtton: (2010-11-01)

Impact of prescribed SSTs on climatologies and long-term trends in CCM simulations
Dahkki: H. Garny, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2009-08-01)

Annual Sea Level Amplitude Analysis over the North Pacific Ocean Coast by Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition Method
Dahkki: Wen-Hau Lan, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2021-02-01)

DOUBLE TANJANT DEMET ÜZERİNE YÜKSELTMELER
Dahkki: A. Ceylan ÇÖKEN, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2009-02-01)

Event attribution of a midlatitude windstorm using ensemble weather forecasts
Dahkki: Ermis, S, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2024)

Evaluating uncertainty in estimates of soil moisture memory with a reverse ensemble approach
Dahkki: Macleod, D, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2016)

Demeter, Gê, and the Indo-European word(s) for 'earth'
Dahkki: Willi, A
Almmustuhtton: (2007)

Decadal climate prediction with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts coupled forecast system: Impact of ocean observations
Dahkki: Doblas-Reyes, F, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2011)

Reply
Dahkki: Palmer, T, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2009)

Toward seamless prediction: Calibration of climate change projections using seasonal forecasts
Dahkki: Palmer, T, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2008)

Decadal climate prediction with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts coupled forecast system: Impact of ocean observations
Dahkki: Doblas-Reyes, F, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2011)

Toward Seamless Prediction: Calibration of Climate Change Projections Using Seasonal Forecasts Reply
Dahkki: Palmer, T, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2009)

Evaluating uncertainty in estimates of soil moisture memory with a reverse ensemble approach
Dahkki: MacLeod, D, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2016)

Evaluating uncertainty in estimates of soil moisture memory with a reverse ensemble approach
Dahkki: D. MacLeod, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2016-07-01)

Benefits of increased resolution in the ECMWF ensemble system and comparison with poor-man's ensembles
Dahkki: Buizza, R, et al.
Almmustuhtton: (2003)