Rapacious resource depletion, excessive investment and insecure property rights: a puzzle

For a country fractionalized in competing factions, each owning part of the stock of natural exhaustible resources, or with insecure property rights, we analyze how resources are transformed into productive capital to sustain consumption. We allow property rights to improve as the country transforms...

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Main Author: Van der Ploeg, R
Format: Working paper
Published: University of Oxford 2009
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author Van der Ploeg, R
author_facet Van der Ploeg, R
author_sort Van der Ploeg, R
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description For a country fractionalized in competing factions, each owning part of the stock of natural exhaustible resources, or with insecure property rights, we analyze how resources are transformed into productive capital to sustain consumption. We allow property rights to improve as the country transforms natural resources into capital. The ensuing power struggle about the control of resources is solved as a non-cooperative differential game. Prices of resources and depletion increase faster than suggested by the Hotelling rule, especially with many competing factions and less secure property rights. As a result, the country substitutes away from resources to capital too rapidly and invests more than predicted by the Hartwick rule. The theory suggests that power struggle boosts output but depresses aggregate consumption and welfare, especially in highly fractionalized countries with less secure property rights. Also, adjusted net saving estimates calculated by the World Bank using market prices over-estimate welfare-based measures of genuine saving. Since our theory suggests that genuine saving is zero while empirically they are negative in resource-rich, fractionalized countries, we suggest ways of resolving this puzzle.
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spelling oxford-uuid:f7324e4a-23d6-4a7c-816e-4557586b6ca32022-03-27T12:41:06ZRapacious resource depletion, excessive investment and insecure property rights: a puzzleWorking paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:f7324e4a-23d6-4a7c-816e-4557586b6ca3Symplectic ElementsBulk import via SwordUniversity of Oxford2009Van der Ploeg, RFor a country fractionalized in competing factions, each owning part of the stock of natural exhaustible resources, or with insecure property rights, we analyze how resources are transformed into productive capital to sustain consumption. We allow property rights to improve as the country transforms natural resources into capital. The ensuing power struggle about the control of resources is solved as a non-cooperative differential game. Prices of resources and depletion increase faster than suggested by the Hotelling rule, especially with many competing factions and less secure property rights. As a result, the country substitutes away from resources to capital too rapidly and invests more than predicted by the Hartwick rule. The theory suggests that power struggle boosts output but depresses aggregate consumption and welfare, especially in highly fractionalized countries with less secure property rights. Also, adjusted net saving estimates calculated by the World Bank using market prices over-estimate welfare-based measures of genuine saving. Since our theory suggests that genuine saving is zero while empirically they are negative in resource-rich, fractionalized countries, we suggest ways of resolving this puzzle.
spellingShingle Van der Ploeg, R
Rapacious resource depletion, excessive investment and insecure property rights: a puzzle
title Rapacious resource depletion, excessive investment and insecure property rights: a puzzle
title_full Rapacious resource depletion, excessive investment and insecure property rights: a puzzle
title_fullStr Rapacious resource depletion, excessive investment and insecure property rights: a puzzle
title_full_unstemmed Rapacious resource depletion, excessive investment and insecure property rights: a puzzle
title_short Rapacious resource depletion, excessive investment and insecure property rights: a puzzle
title_sort rapacious resource depletion excessive investment and insecure property rights a puzzle
work_keys_str_mv AT vanderploegr rapaciousresourcedepletionexcessiveinvestmentandinsecurepropertyrightsapuzzle