General Purpose Technologies and Surges in Productivity: Historical Reflections on the Future of the ICT Revolution.

The phenomenon of recurring prolonged swings in the total factor productivity (TFP) growth rate is approached in this paper by examining a particular episode in earlier twentieth century economic history. A marked acceleration of productivity growth in U.S. manufacturing occurred after World War I,...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Principais autores: David, P, Wright, G
Formato: Book section
Idioma:English
Publicado em: Oxford University Press 2003
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author David, P
Wright, G
author2 David, P
author_facet David, P
David, P
Wright, G
author_sort David, P
collection OXFORD
description The phenomenon of recurring prolonged swings in the total factor productivity (TFP) growth rate is approached in this paper by examining a particular episode in earlier twentieth century economic history. A marked acceleration of productivity growth in U.S. manufacturing occurred after World War I, and was the main driver of the absolute and relative rise of the private domestic economy’s TFP residual. This discontinuity reflected the elaboration and adoption of a new factory regime based upon the electric dynamo, a general purpose technology (GPT) that brought significant fixed-capital savings while simultaneously raising labor productivity in a wide array of manufacturing operations. But, rather than offering a purely technological explanation of the productivity surge of the 1920s, a more complex conceptualization of the dynamics of GPT diffusion is proposed. This highlights both the generic and the differentiating aspects of U.S. industrial electrification in comparison with that of the contemporary UK. Explicit historical contextualization of the GPT concept also sheds further light on the puzzling late twentieth century productivity slowdown, and it points to some contemporary portents of a future phase of more rapid total factor productivity growth.
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spelling oxford-uuid:fb3c2e53-534d-437a-b5e0-91892010a31c2022-03-27T13:12:12ZGeneral Purpose Technologies and Surges in Productivity: Historical Reflections on the Future of the ICT Revolution.Book sectionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_3248uuid:fb3c2e53-534d-437a-b5e0-91892010a31cEnglishDepartment of Economics - ePrintsOxford University Press2003David, PWright, GDavid, PThomas, MThe phenomenon of recurring prolonged swings in the total factor productivity (TFP) growth rate is approached in this paper by examining a particular episode in earlier twentieth century economic history. A marked acceleration of productivity growth in U.S. manufacturing occurred after World War I, and was the main driver of the absolute and relative rise of the private domestic economy’s TFP residual. This discontinuity reflected the elaboration and adoption of a new factory regime based upon the electric dynamo, a general purpose technology (GPT) that brought significant fixed-capital savings while simultaneously raising labor productivity in a wide array of manufacturing operations. But, rather than offering a purely technological explanation of the productivity surge of the 1920s, a more complex conceptualization of the dynamics of GPT diffusion is proposed. This highlights both the generic and the differentiating aspects of U.S. industrial electrification in comparison with that of the contemporary UK. Explicit historical contextualization of the GPT concept also sheds further light on the puzzling late twentieth century productivity slowdown, and it points to some contemporary portents of a future phase of more rapid total factor productivity growth.
spellingShingle David, P
Wright, G
General Purpose Technologies and Surges in Productivity: Historical Reflections on the Future of the ICT Revolution.
title General Purpose Technologies and Surges in Productivity: Historical Reflections on the Future of the ICT Revolution.
title_full General Purpose Technologies and Surges in Productivity: Historical Reflections on the Future of the ICT Revolution.
title_fullStr General Purpose Technologies and Surges in Productivity: Historical Reflections on the Future of the ICT Revolution.
title_full_unstemmed General Purpose Technologies and Surges in Productivity: Historical Reflections on the Future of the ICT Revolution.
title_short General Purpose Technologies and Surges in Productivity: Historical Reflections on the Future of the ICT Revolution.
title_sort general purpose technologies and surges in productivity historical reflections on the future of the ict revolution
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