Non-linear incidence and stability of infectious disease models.

In this paper we consider the impact of the form of the non-linearity of the infectious disease incidence rate on the dynamics of epidemiological models. We consider a very general form of the non-linear incidence rate (in fact, we assumed that the incidence rate is given by an arbitrary function f...

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Main Authors: Korobeinikov, A, Maini, P
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: 2005
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author Korobeinikov, A
Maini, P
author_facet Korobeinikov, A
Maini, P
author_sort Korobeinikov, A
collection OXFORD
description In this paper we consider the impact of the form of the non-linearity of the infectious disease incidence rate on the dynamics of epidemiological models. We consider a very general form of the non-linear incidence rate (in fact, we assumed that the incidence rate is given by an arbitrary function f (S, I, N) constrained by a few biologically feasible conditions) and a variety of epidemiological models. We show that under the constant population size assumption, these models exhibit asymptotically stable steady states. Precisely, we demonstrate that the concavity of the incidence rate with respect to the number of infective individuals is a sufficient condition for stability. If the incidence rate is concave in the number of the infectives, the models we consider have either a unique and stable endemic equilibrium state or no endemic equilibrium state at all; in the latter case the infection-free equilibrium state is stable. For the incidence rate of the form g(I)h(S), we prove global stability, constructing a Lyapunov function and using the direct Lyapunov method. It is remarkable that the system dynamics is independent of how the incidence rate depends on the number of susceptible individuals. We demonstrate this result using a SIRS model and a SEIRS model as case studies. For other compartment epidemic models, the analysis is quite similar, and the same conclusion, namely stability of the equilibrium states, holds.
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spelling oxford-uuid:fc097939-a252-4f06-90a8-df629c442d322022-03-27T13:17:59ZNon-linear incidence and stability of infectious disease models.Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:fc097939-a252-4f06-90a8-df629c442d32EnglishSymplectic Elements at Oxford2005Korobeinikov, AMaini, PIn this paper we consider the impact of the form of the non-linearity of the infectious disease incidence rate on the dynamics of epidemiological models. We consider a very general form of the non-linear incidence rate (in fact, we assumed that the incidence rate is given by an arbitrary function f (S, I, N) constrained by a few biologically feasible conditions) and a variety of epidemiological models. We show that under the constant population size assumption, these models exhibit asymptotically stable steady states. Precisely, we demonstrate that the concavity of the incidence rate with respect to the number of infective individuals is a sufficient condition for stability. If the incidence rate is concave in the number of the infectives, the models we consider have either a unique and stable endemic equilibrium state or no endemic equilibrium state at all; in the latter case the infection-free equilibrium state is stable. For the incidence rate of the form g(I)h(S), we prove global stability, constructing a Lyapunov function and using the direct Lyapunov method. It is remarkable that the system dynamics is independent of how the incidence rate depends on the number of susceptible individuals. We demonstrate this result using a SIRS model and a SEIRS model as case studies. For other compartment epidemic models, the analysis is quite similar, and the same conclusion, namely stability of the equilibrium states, holds.
spellingShingle Korobeinikov, A
Maini, P
Non-linear incidence and stability of infectious disease models.
title Non-linear incidence and stability of infectious disease models.
title_full Non-linear incidence and stability of infectious disease models.
title_fullStr Non-linear incidence and stability of infectious disease models.
title_full_unstemmed Non-linear incidence and stability of infectious disease models.
title_short Non-linear incidence and stability of infectious disease models.
title_sort non linear incidence and stability of infectious disease models
work_keys_str_mv AT korobeinikova nonlinearincidenceandstabilityofinfectiousdiseasemodels
AT mainip nonlinearincidenceandstabilityofinfectiousdiseasemodels