Clustering for epidemics on networks: a geometric approach

Infectious diseases typically spread over a contact network with millions of individuals, whose sheer size is a tremendous challenge to analyzing and controlling an epidemic outbreak. For some contact networks, it is possible to group individuals into clusters. A high-level description of the epidem...

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Main Authors: Prasse, B, Devriendt, K, Van Mieghem, P
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: AIP Publishing 2021
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author Prasse, B
Devriendt, K
Van Mieghem, P
author_facet Prasse, B
Devriendt, K
Van Mieghem, P
author_sort Prasse, B
collection OXFORD
description Infectious diseases typically spread over a contact network with millions of individuals, whose sheer size is a tremendous challenge to analyzing and controlling an epidemic outbreak. For some contact networks, it is possible to group individuals into clusters. A high-level description of the epidemic between a few clusters is considerably simpler than on an individual level. However, to cluster individuals, most studies rely on equitable partitions, a rather restrictive structural property of the contact network. In this work, we focus on Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) epidemics, and our contribution is threefold. First, we propose a geometric approach to specify all networks for which an epidemic outbreak simplifies to the interaction of only a few clusters. Second, for the complete graph and any initial viral state vectors, we derive the closed-form solution of the nonlinear differential equations of the N-intertwined mean-field approximation of the SIS process. Third, by relaxing the notion of equitable partitions, we derive low-complexity approximations and bounds for epidemics on arbitrary contact networks. Our results are an important step toward understanding and controlling epidemics on large networks.
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spelling oxford-uuid:fc73da75-14b1-4685-b71d-3380ea7fd6e82024-10-18T15:31:19ZClustering for epidemics on networks: a geometric approachJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:fc73da75-14b1-4685-b71d-3380ea7fd6e8EnglishSymplectic ElementsAIP Publishing2021Prasse, BDevriendt, KVan Mieghem, PInfectious diseases typically spread over a contact network with millions of individuals, whose sheer size is a tremendous challenge to analyzing and controlling an epidemic outbreak. For some contact networks, it is possible to group individuals into clusters. A high-level description of the epidemic between a few clusters is considerably simpler than on an individual level. However, to cluster individuals, most studies rely on equitable partitions, a rather restrictive structural property of the contact network. In this work, we focus on Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) epidemics, and our contribution is threefold. First, we propose a geometric approach to specify all networks for which an epidemic outbreak simplifies to the interaction of only a few clusters. Second, for the complete graph and any initial viral state vectors, we derive the closed-form solution of the nonlinear differential equations of the N-intertwined mean-field approximation of the SIS process. Third, by relaxing the notion of equitable partitions, we derive low-complexity approximations and bounds for epidemics on arbitrary contact networks. Our results are an important step toward understanding and controlling epidemics on large networks.
spellingShingle Prasse, B
Devriendt, K
Van Mieghem, P
Clustering for epidemics on networks: a geometric approach
title Clustering for epidemics on networks: a geometric approach
title_full Clustering for epidemics on networks: a geometric approach
title_fullStr Clustering for epidemics on networks: a geometric approach
title_full_unstemmed Clustering for epidemics on networks: a geometric approach
title_short Clustering for epidemics on networks: a geometric approach
title_sort clustering for epidemics on networks a geometric approach
work_keys_str_mv AT prasseb clusteringforepidemicsonnetworksageometricapproach
AT devriendtk clusteringforepidemicsonnetworksageometricapproach
AT vanmieghemp clusteringforepidemicsonnetworksageometricapproach