The wisdom of crowds: what do citizens forecast for the 2015 British general election?
Who do you think will win in your constituency? Most citizens correctly answer this question, and groups are even better at answering it. Combining individual forecasts results in the ‘wisdom of crowds’ explained by Condorcet’s jury theorem. This paper demonstrates the accuracy of citizen forecasts...
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| Format: | Journal article |
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Elsevier
2015
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