The HARX-GJR-GARCH skewed-t multipower realized volatility modelling for S&P 500

The heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) models are used in modeling high frequency multipower realized volatility of the S&P 500 index. Extended from the standard realized volatility, the multipower realized volatility representations have the advantage of handling the possible abrupt jumps by sm...

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Main Authors: Cheong, Chin Wen, Lee, Min Cherng, Nadira Mohamed Isa, Poo, Kuan Hong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2017
Online Access:http://journalarticle.ukm.my/10599/1/14%20Chin%20Wen%20Cheong.pdf
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author Cheong, Chin Wen
Lee, Min Cherng
Nadira Mohamed Isa,
Poo, Kuan Hong
author_facet Cheong, Chin Wen
Lee, Min Cherng
Nadira Mohamed Isa,
Poo, Kuan Hong
author_sort Cheong, Chin Wen
collection UKM
description The heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) models are used in modeling high frequency multipower realized volatility of the S&P 500 index. Extended from the standard realized volatility, the multipower realized volatility representations have the advantage of handling the possible abrupt jumps by smoothing the consecutive volatility. In order to accommodate clustering volatility and asymmetric of multipower realized volatility, the HAR model is extended by the threshold autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (GJR-GARCH) component. In addition, the innovations of the multipower realized volatility are characterized by the skewed student-t distributions. The extended model provides the best performing in-sample and out-of-sample forecast evaluations.
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spelling ukm.eprints-105992017-08-22T00:35:12Z http://journalarticle.ukm.my/10599/ The HARX-GJR-GARCH skewed-t multipower realized volatility modelling for S&P 500 Cheong, Chin Wen Lee, Min Cherng Nadira Mohamed Isa, Poo, Kuan Hong The heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) models are used in modeling high frequency multipower realized volatility of the S&P 500 index. Extended from the standard realized volatility, the multipower realized volatility representations have the advantage of handling the possible abrupt jumps by smoothing the consecutive volatility. In order to accommodate clustering volatility and asymmetric of multipower realized volatility, the HAR model is extended by the threshold autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (GJR-GARCH) component. In addition, the innovations of the multipower realized volatility are characterized by the skewed student-t distributions. The extended model provides the best performing in-sample and out-of-sample forecast evaluations. Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2017-01 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://journalarticle.ukm.my/10599/1/14%20Chin%20Wen%20Cheong.pdf Cheong, Chin Wen and Lee, Min Cherng and Nadira Mohamed Isa, and Poo, Kuan Hong (2017) The HARX-GJR-GARCH skewed-t multipower realized volatility modelling for S&P 500. Sains Malaysiana, 46 (1). pp. 107-116. ISSN 0126-6039 http://www.ukm.my/jsm/english_journals/vol46num1_2017/contentsVol46num1_2017.html
spellingShingle Cheong, Chin Wen
Lee, Min Cherng
Nadira Mohamed Isa,
Poo, Kuan Hong
The HARX-GJR-GARCH skewed-t multipower realized volatility modelling for S&P 500
title The HARX-GJR-GARCH skewed-t multipower realized volatility modelling for S&P 500
title_full The HARX-GJR-GARCH skewed-t multipower realized volatility modelling for S&P 500
title_fullStr The HARX-GJR-GARCH skewed-t multipower realized volatility modelling for S&P 500
title_full_unstemmed The HARX-GJR-GARCH skewed-t multipower realized volatility modelling for S&P 500
title_short The HARX-GJR-GARCH skewed-t multipower realized volatility modelling for S&P 500
title_sort harx gjr garch skewed t multipower realized volatility modelling for s p 500
url http://journalarticle.ukm.my/10599/1/14%20Chin%20Wen%20Cheong.pdf
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