Drivers of land use-land cover changes in the Central Rift Valley of Ethiopia

Land use-land cover change (LULCC) is driven by the interplay of forcing factors that act at global, regional, and local levels. Previous studies investigated mainly the basic socioeconomic drivers of LULCC. However, these studies less considered climate change vulnerability as a potential driver. H...

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Main Authors: Bekele, Belew, Wei, Wu, Yirsaw, Eshetu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2019
Online Access:http://journalarticle.ukm.my/13727/1/03%20Belew%20Bekele.pdf
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author Bekele, Belew
Wei, Wu
Yirsaw, Eshetu
author_facet Bekele, Belew
Wei, Wu
Yirsaw, Eshetu
author_sort Bekele, Belew
collection UKM
description Land use-land cover change (LULCC) is driven by the interplay of forcing factors that act at global, regional, and local levels. Previous studies investigated mainly the basic socioeconomic drivers of LULCC. However, these studies less considered climate change vulnerability as a potential driver. Hence, this study is aimed to assess LULCC drivers in more fragile and dynamic landscapes of the East African Rift Valley region for the period of 1986-2016. We used a combination of Remote Sensing, Geographic Information System, logistic regression, and descriptive statistics to quantify and analyze the data. Image analysis results indicated that during the overall study period (1986-2016), grass/grazing land, agricultural land, and bare land have increased by 124%, 42%, and 34% respectively, whereas scattered acacia woodland, bush/shrubland, and swampy/marshy land have declined by 52%, 50%, and 31%, in that order. This image-derived change trend is in line with farmers’ perceived results. The top most influential drivers of LULCC includes population growth (95%), fuelwood extraction (93%), agricultural land expansion (92%), charcoal making (92%), climate change/recurrent drought (79%), and overgrazing (71%) in descending order of percentage of respondents. Education level and age of farmers significantly (p<0.05) affected their perception towards less perceived drivers. Hence, in order to reduce the adverse socio-environmental impacts of spectacular LULCC in the region, policy and decision makers need to take into account such principal drivers, particularly population growth and climate change.
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spelling ukm.eprints-137272019-11-29T09:11:05Z http://journalarticle.ukm.my/13727/ Drivers of land use-land cover changes in the Central Rift Valley of Ethiopia Bekele, Belew Wei, Wu Yirsaw, Eshetu Land use-land cover change (LULCC) is driven by the interplay of forcing factors that act at global, regional, and local levels. Previous studies investigated mainly the basic socioeconomic drivers of LULCC. However, these studies less considered climate change vulnerability as a potential driver. Hence, this study is aimed to assess LULCC drivers in more fragile and dynamic landscapes of the East African Rift Valley region for the period of 1986-2016. We used a combination of Remote Sensing, Geographic Information System, logistic regression, and descriptive statistics to quantify and analyze the data. Image analysis results indicated that during the overall study period (1986-2016), grass/grazing land, agricultural land, and bare land have increased by 124%, 42%, and 34% respectively, whereas scattered acacia woodland, bush/shrubland, and swampy/marshy land have declined by 52%, 50%, and 31%, in that order. This image-derived change trend is in line with farmers’ perceived results. The top most influential drivers of LULCC includes population growth (95%), fuelwood extraction (93%), agricultural land expansion (92%), charcoal making (92%), climate change/recurrent drought (79%), and overgrazing (71%) in descending order of percentage of respondents. Education level and age of farmers significantly (p<0.05) affected their perception towards less perceived drivers. Hence, in order to reduce the adverse socio-environmental impacts of spectacular LULCC in the region, policy and decision makers need to take into account such principal drivers, particularly population growth and climate change. Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2019-07 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://journalarticle.ukm.my/13727/1/03%20Belew%20Bekele.pdf Bekele, Belew and Wei, Wu and Yirsaw, Eshetu (2019) Drivers of land use-land cover changes in the Central Rift Valley of Ethiopia. Sains Malaysiana, 48 (7). pp. 1333-1345. ISSN 0126-6039 http://www.ukm.my/jsm/malay_journals/jilid48bil7_2019/KandunganJilid48Bil7_2019.html
spellingShingle Bekele, Belew
Wei, Wu
Yirsaw, Eshetu
Drivers of land use-land cover changes in the Central Rift Valley of Ethiopia
title Drivers of land use-land cover changes in the Central Rift Valley of Ethiopia
title_full Drivers of land use-land cover changes in the Central Rift Valley of Ethiopia
title_fullStr Drivers of land use-land cover changes in the Central Rift Valley of Ethiopia
title_full_unstemmed Drivers of land use-land cover changes in the Central Rift Valley of Ethiopia
title_short Drivers of land use-land cover changes in the Central Rift Valley of Ethiopia
title_sort drivers of land use land cover changes in the central rift valley of ethiopia
url http://journalarticle.ukm.my/13727/1/03%20Belew%20Bekele.pdf
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AT weiwu driversoflanduselandcoverchangesinthecentralriftvalleyofethiopia
AT yirsaweshetu driversoflanduselandcoverchangesinthecentralriftvalleyofethiopia