Detection of outliers in circular regression model via DFBETAc IS statistic

The outlier issues in circular regression models have recently received much attention. The presence of outliers may cause the sign and magnitude of regression coefficients to vary, resulting in inaccurate model development and incorrect prediction. Many methods for detecting outliers in a circular...

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Main Authors: Intan Mastura Ramlee, Safwati Ibrahim, Leow, Wai Zhe, Mohd Irwan Yusoff
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2024
Online Access:http://journalarticle.ukm.my/23927/1/SE%2016.pdf
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author Intan Mastura Ramlee,
Safwati Ibrahim,
Leow, Wai Zhe
Mohd Irwan Yusoff,
author_facet Intan Mastura Ramlee,
Safwati Ibrahim,
Leow, Wai Zhe
Mohd Irwan Yusoff,
author_sort Intan Mastura Ramlee,
collection UKM
description The outlier issues in circular regression models have recently received much attention. The presence of outliers may cause the sign and magnitude of regression coefficients to vary, resulting in inaccurate model development and incorrect prediction. Many methods for detecting outliers in a circular regression model have been proposed in previous studies such as COVRATIO, D, M, A, and Chord statistics, but it is suspected that they are not very successful in the presence of multiple outliers in a data set since the masking and swamping is not considered in their studies. This study aimed to develop an outlier detection procedure using DFBETAc statistic for circular cases, where this new statistic will investigate and identify multiple outliers in the Jammalamadaka and Sarma circular regression model (JSCRM) by considering masking and swamping effect. Monte Carlo simulations are used to determine the corresponding cut-off point and the power of performance is investigated. The performance of the proposed statistic is evaluated by the proportion of detected outliers and the rate of masking and swamping. The simulation procedure is applied at 10% and 20% contamination levels for varying sample sizes. The results show that the proposed DFBETAcIS statistic for JSCRM successfully detect the outliers. For illustration purposes, this process is applied to wind direction data.
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spelling ukm.eprints-239272024-08-06T02:13:15Z http://journalarticle.ukm.my/23927/ Detection of outliers in circular regression model via DFBETAc IS statistic Intan Mastura Ramlee, Safwati Ibrahim, Leow, Wai Zhe Mohd Irwan Yusoff, The outlier issues in circular regression models have recently received much attention. The presence of outliers may cause the sign and magnitude of regression coefficients to vary, resulting in inaccurate model development and incorrect prediction. Many methods for detecting outliers in a circular regression model have been proposed in previous studies such as COVRATIO, D, M, A, and Chord statistics, but it is suspected that they are not very successful in the presence of multiple outliers in a data set since the masking and swamping is not considered in their studies. This study aimed to develop an outlier detection procedure using DFBETAc statistic for circular cases, where this new statistic will investigate and identify multiple outliers in the Jammalamadaka and Sarma circular regression model (JSCRM) by considering masking and swamping effect. Monte Carlo simulations are used to determine the corresponding cut-off point and the power of performance is investigated. The performance of the proposed statistic is evaluated by the proportion of detected outliers and the rate of masking and swamping. The simulation procedure is applied at 10% and 20% contamination levels for varying sample sizes. The results show that the proposed DFBETAcIS statistic for JSCRM successfully detect the outliers. For illustration purposes, this process is applied to wind direction data. Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2024 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://journalarticle.ukm.my/23927/1/SE%2016.pdf Intan Mastura Ramlee, and Safwati Ibrahim, and Leow, Wai Zhe and Mohd Irwan Yusoff, (2024) Detection of outliers in circular regression model via DFBETAc IS statistic. Sains Malaysiana, 53 (4). pp. 935-951. ISSN 0126-6039 https://www.ukm.my/jsm/english_journals/vol53num4_2024/contentsVol53num4_2024.html
spellingShingle Intan Mastura Ramlee,
Safwati Ibrahim,
Leow, Wai Zhe
Mohd Irwan Yusoff,
Detection of outliers in circular regression model via DFBETAc IS statistic
title Detection of outliers in circular regression model via DFBETAc IS statistic
title_full Detection of outliers in circular regression model via DFBETAc IS statistic
title_fullStr Detection of outliers in circular regression model via DFBETAc IS statistic
title_full_unstemmed Detection of outliers in circular regression model via DFBETAc IS statistic
title_short Detection of outliers in circular regression model via DFBETAc IS statistic
title_sort detection of outliers in circular regression model via dfbetac is statistic
url http://journalarticle.ukm.my/23927/1/SE%2016.pdf
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AT safwatiibrahim detectionofoutliersincircularregressionmodelviadfbetacisstatistic
AT leowwaizhe detectionofoutliersincircularregressionmodelviadfbetacisstatistic
AT mohdirwanyusoff detectionofoutliersincircularregressionmodelviadfbetacisstatistic