Point forecast markov switching model for U.S. Dollar/ Euro exchange rate
This research proposes a point forecasting method into Markov switching autoregressive model. In case of two regimes, we proved the probability that h periods later process will be in regime 1 or 2 is given by steady-state probabilities. Then, using the value of h-step-ahead forecast data at time...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia
2012
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| Online Access: | http://journalarticle.ukm.my/3939/1/14%2520Hamidreza.pdf |