Application of the hybrid ANFIS models for long term wind power density prediction with extrapolation capability

In this paper, the suitability and performance of ANFIS (adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system), ANFIS-PSO (particle swarm optimization), ANFIS-GA (genetic algorithm) and ANFIS-DE (differential evolution) has been investigated for the prediction of monthly and weekly wind power density (WPD) of four...

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Main Authors: Hossain, Monowar, Mekhilef, Saad, Afifi, Firdaus, Halabi, Laith M., Olatomiwa, Lanre, Seyedmahmoudian, Mehdi, Horan, Ben, Stojcevski, Alex
Format: Article
Published: Public Library of Science 2018
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author Hossain, Monowar
Mekhilef, Saad
Afifi, Firdaus
Halabi, Laith M.
Olatomiwa, Lanre
Seyedmahmoudian, Mehdi
Horan, Ben
Stojcevski, Alex
author_facet Hossain, Monowar
Mekhilef, Saad
Afifi, Firdaus
Halabi, Laith M.
Olatomiwa, Lanre
Seyedmahmoudian, Mehdi
Horan, Ben
Stojcevski, Alex
author_sort Hossain, Monowar
collection UM
description In this paper, the suitability and performance of ANFIS (adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system), ANFIS-PSO (particle swarm optimization), ANFIS-GA (genetic algorithm) and ANFIS-DE (differential evolution) has been investigated for the prediction of monthly and weekly wind power density (WPD) of four different locations named Mersing, Kuala Terengganu, Pulau Langkawi and Bayan Lepas all in Malaysia. For this aim, standalone ANFIS, ANFIS-PSO, ANFIS-GA and ANFIS-DE prediction algorithm are developed in MATLAB platform. The performance of the proposed hybrid ANFIS models is determined by computing different statistical parameters such as mean absolute bias error (MABE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), root mean square error (RMSE) and coefficient of determination (R 2 ). The results obtained from ANFIS-PSO and ANFIS-GA enjoy higher performance and accuracy than other models, and they can be suggested for practical application to predict monthly and weekly mean wind power density. Besides, the capability of the proposed hybrid ANFIS models is examined to predict the wind data for the locations where measured wind data are not available, and the results are compared with the measured wind data from nearby stations.
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spelling um.eprints-218712019-08-07T08:08:51Z http://eprints.um.edu.my/21871/ Application of the hybrid ANFIS models for long term wind power density prediction with extrapolation capability Hossain, Monowar Mekhilef, Saad Afifi, Firdaus Halabi, Laith M. Olatomiwa, Lanre Seyedmahmoudian, Mehdi Horan, Ben Stojcevski, Alex QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering In this paper, the suitability and performance of ANFIS (adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system), ANFIS-PSO (particle swarm optimization), ANFIS-GA (genetic algorithm) and ANFIS-DE (differential evolution) has been investigated for the prediction of monthly and weekly wind power density (WPD) of four different locations named Mersing, Kuala Terengganu, Pulau Langkawi and Bayan Lepas all in Malaysia. For this aim, standalone ANFIS, ANFIS-PSO, ANFIS-GA and ANFIS-DE prediction algorithm are developed in MATLAB platform. The performance of the proposed hybrid ANFIS models is determined by computing different statistical parameters such as mean absolute bias error (MABE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), root mean square error (RMSE) and coefficient of determination (R 2 ). The results obtained from ANFIS-PSO and ANFIS-GA enjoy higher performance and accuracy than other models, and they can be suggested for practical application to predict monthly and weekly mean wind power density. Besides, the capability of the proposed hybrid ANFIS models is examined to predict the wind data for the locations where measured wind data are not available, and the results are compared with the measured wind data from nearby stations. Public Library of Science 2018 Article PeerReviewed Hossain, Monowar and Mekhilef, Saad and Afifi, Firdaus and Halabi, Laith M. and Olatomiwa, Lanre and Seyedmahmoudian, Mehdi and Horan, Ben and Stojcevski, Alex (2018) Application of the hybrid ANFIS models for long term wind power density prediction with extrapolation capability. PLoS ONE, 13 (4). e0193772. ISSN 1932-6203, DOI https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0193772 <https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0193772>. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0193772 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0193772
spellingShingle QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
Hossain, Monowar
Mekhilef, Saad
Afifi, Firdaus
Halabi, Laith M.
Olatomiwa, Lanre
Seyedmahmoudian, Mehdi
Horan, Ben
Stojcevski, Alex
Application of the hybrid ANFIS models for long term wind power density prediction with extrapolation capability
title Application of the hybrid ANFIS models for long term wind power density prediction with extrapolation capability
title_full Application of the hybrid ANFIS models for long term wind power density prediction with extrapolation capability
title_fullStr Application of the hybrid ANFIS models for long term wind power density prediction with extrapolation capability
title_full_unstemmed Application of the hybrid ANFIS models for long term wind power density prediction with extrapolation capability
title_short Application of the hybrid ANFIS models for long term wind power density prediction with extrapolation capability
title_sort application of the hybrid anfis models for long term wind power density prediction with extrapolation capability
topic QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
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