Nonparametric Evaluation of Dynamic Disease Risk: A Spatio-Temporal Kernel Approach

Quantifying the distributions of disease risk in space and time jointly is a key element for understanding spatio-temporal phenomena while also having the potential to enhance our understanding of epidemiologic trajectories. However, most studies to date have neglected time dimension and focus inste...

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Main Authors: Zhang, Zhijie, Chen, Dongmei, Liu, Wenbao, Racine, Jeffrey S., Ong, Seng Huat, Chen, Yue, Zhao, Genming, Jiang, Qingwu
Format: Article
Published: Public Library of Science 2011
Subjects:
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author Zhang, Zhijie
Chen, Dongmei
Liu, Wenbao
Racine, Jeffrey S.
Ong, Seng Huat
Chen, Yue
Zhao, Genming
Jiang, Qingwu
author_facet Zhang, Zhijie
Chen, Dongmei
Liu, Wenbao
Racine, Jeffrey S.
Ong, Seng Huat
Chen, Yue
Zhao, Genming
Jiang, Qingwu
author_sort Zhang, Zhijie
collection UM
description Quantifying the distributions of disease risk in space and time jointly is a key element for understanding spatio-temporal phenomena while also having the potential to enhance our understanding of epidemiologic trajectories. However, most studies to date have neglected time dimension and focus instead on the "average" spatial pattern of disease risk, thereby masking time trajectories of disease risk. In this study we propose a new idea titled "spatio-temporal kernel density estimation (stKDE)" that employs hybrid kernel (i.e., weight) functions to evaluate the spatio-temporal disease risks. This approach not only can make full use of sample data but also "borrows" information in a particular manner from neighboring points both in space and time via appropriate choice of kernel functions. Monte Carlo simulations show that the proposed method performs substantially better than the traditional (i.e., frequency-based) kernel density estimation (trKDE) which has been used in applied settings while two illustrative examples demonstrate that the proposed approach can yield superior results compared to the popular trKDE approach. In addition, there exist various possibilities for improving and extending this method. © 2011 Zhang et al.
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spelling um.eprints-229882019-11-14T04:08:49Z http://eprints.um.edu.my/22988/ Nonparametric Evaluation of Dynamic Disease Risk: A Spatio-Temporal Kernel Approach Zhang, Zhijie Chen, Dongmei Liu, Wenbao Racine, Jeffrey S. Ong, Seng Huat Chen, Yue Zhao, Genming Jiang, Qingwu Q Science (General) QA Mathematics Quantifying the distributions of disease risk in space and time jointly is a key element for understanding spatio-temporal phenomena while also having the potential to enhance our understanding of epidemiologic trajectories. However, most studies to date have neglected time dimension and focus instead on the "average" spatial pattern of disease risk, thereby masking time trajectories of disease risk. In this study we propose a new idea titled "spatio-temporal kernel density estimation (stKDE)" that employs hybrid kernel (i.e., weight) functions to evaluate the spatio-temporal disease risks. This approach not only can make full use of sample data but also "borrows" information in a particular manner from neighboring points both in space and time via appropriate choice of kernel functions. Monte Carlo simulations show that the proposed method performs substantially better than the traditional (i.e., frequency-based) kernel density estimation (trKDE) which has been used in applied settings while two illustrative examples demonstrate that the proposed approach can yield superior results compared to the popular trKDE approach. In addition, there exist various possibilities for improving and extending this method. © 2011 Zhang et al. Public Library of Science 2011 Article PeerReviewed Zhang, Zhijie and Chen, Dongmei and Liu, Wenbao and Racine, Jeffrey S. and Ong, Seng Huat and Chen, Yue and Zhao, Genming and Jiang, Qingwu (2011) Nonparametric Evaluation of Dynamic Disease Risk: A Spatio-Temporal Kernel Approach. PLoS ONE, 6 (3). e17381. ISSN 1932-6203, DOI https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0017381 <https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0017381>. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0017381 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0017381
spellingShingle Q Science (General)
QA Mathematics
Zhang, Zhijie
Chen, Dongmei
Liu, Wenbao
Racine, Jeffrey S.
Ong, Seng Huat
Chen, Yue
Zhao, Genming
Jiang, Qingwu
Nonparametric Evaluation of Dynamic Disease Risk: A Spatio-Temporal Kernel Approach
title Nonparametric Evaluation of Dynamic Disease Risk: A Spatio-Temporal Kernel Approach
title_full Nonparametric Evaluation of Dynamic Disease Risk: A Spatio-Temporal Kernel Approach
title_fullStr Nonparametric Evaluation of Dynamic Disease Risk: A Spatio-Temporal Kernel Approach
title_full_unstemmed Nonparametric Evaluation of Dynamic Disease Risk: A Spatio-Temporal Kernel Approach
title_short Nonparametric Evaluation of Dynamic Disease Risk: A Spatio-Temporal Kernel Approach
title_sort nonparametric evaluation of dynamic disease risk a spatio temporal kernel approach
topic Q Science (General)
QA Mathematics
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