Export and economic growth in Southeast Asia current newly industrialized countries: evidence from nonparametric approach

Nonlinearity in the nexus of export and economic growth has not been addressed in most of the previous studies. If the true relationship is nonlinear, then inference from linear model may be invalid. This study re-examines the exports-growth nexus in four current Newly Industrialized Countries by no...

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Main Authors: Ho, Chong Mun, Lim, Shiok Ye, Mohd Fahmi Ghazali
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2011
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/19665/1/Export%20and%20economic%20growth%20in%20Southeast%20Asia%20current%20newly%20industrialized%20countries.pdf
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author Ho, Chong Mun
Lim, Shiok Ye
Mohd Fahmi Ghazali
author_facet Ho, Chong Mun
Lim, Shiok Ye
Mohd Fahmi Ghazali
author_sort Ho, Chong Mun
collection UMS
description Nonlinearity in the nexus of export and economic growth has not been addressed in most of the previous studies. If the true relationship is nonlinear, then inference from linear model may be invalid. This study re-examines the exports-growth nexus in four current Newly Industrialized Countries by nonparametric methodology. Results from Breitung cointegration test show existence of nonlinearities in the cointegration relationship of exports and economic growth in Malaysia, Thailand and Indonesia. With evidences of nonlinearities from cointegration test, nonparametric causality test based on rank series provides more reliable results than conventional linear model. The nonparametric causality test indicates a bilateral causality between exports and economic growth in Malaysia and Thailand. On the contrary, Indonesia support the hypothesis that growth driven exports. This results highlight that export is an engine to economic growth through its multiplier effect but it is not a general rule for all the Newly Industrialized Countries.
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spelling ums.eprints-196652018-04-03T01:48:29Z https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/19665/ Export and economic growth in Southeast Asia current newly industrialized countries: evidence from nonparametric approach Ho, Chong Mun Lim, Shiok Ye Mohd Fahmi Ghazali HF Commerce Nonlinearity in the nexus of export and economic growth has not been addressed in most of the previous studies. If the true relationship is nonlinear, then inference from linear model may be invalid. This study re-examines the exports-growth nexus in four current Newly Industrialized Countries by nonparametric methodology. Results from Breitung cointegration test show existence of nonlinearities in the cointegration relationship of exports and economic growth in Malaysia, Thailand and Indonesia. With evidences of nonlinearities from cointegration test, nonparametric causality test based on rank series provides more reliable results than conventional linear model. The nonparametric causality test indicates a bilateral causality between exports and economic growth in Malaysia and Thailand. On the contrary, Indonesia support the hypothesis that growth driven exports. This results highlight that export is an engine to economic growth through its multiplier effect but it is not a general rule for all the Newly Industrialized Countries. Elsevier 2011 Article PeerReviewed text en https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/19665/1/Export%20and%20economic%20growth%20in%20Southeast%20Asia%20current%20newly%20industrialized%20countries.pdf Ho, Chong Mun and Lim, Shiok Ye and Mohd Fahmi Ghazali (2011) Export and economic growth in Southeast Asia current newly industrialized countries: evidence from nonparametric approach. Economics Bulletin, 31 (3). pp. 2683-2693. ISSN 1545-2921 https://ideas.repec.org/a/ebl/ecbull/eb-11-00510.html
spellingShingle HF Commerce
Ho, Chong Mun
Lim, Shiok Ye
Mohd Fahmi Ghazali
Export and economic growth in Southeast Asia current newly industrialized countries: evidence from nonparametric approach
title Export and economic growth in Southeast Asia current newly industrialized countries: evidence from nonparametric approach
title_full Export and economic growth in Southeast Asia current newly industrialized countries: evidence from nonparametric approach
title_fullStr Export and economic growth in Southeast Asia current newly industrialized countries: evidence from nonparametric approach
title_full_unstemmed Export and economic growth in Southeast Asia current newly industrialized countries: evidence from nonparametric approach
title_short Export and economic growth in Southeast Asia current newly industrialized countries: evidence from nonparametric approach
title_sort export and economic growth in southeast asia current newly industrialized countries evidence from nonparametric approach
topic HF Commerce
url https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/19665/1/Export%20and%20economic%20growth%20in%20Southeast%20Asia%20current%20newly%20industrialized%20countries.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT hochongmun exportandeconomicgrowthinsoutheastasiacurrentnewlyindustrializedcountriesevidencefromnonparametricapproach
AT limshiokye exportandeconomicgrowthinsoutheastasiacurrentnewlyindustrializedcountriesevidencefromnonparametricapproach
AT mohdfahmighazali exportandeconomicgrowthinsoutheastasiacurrentnewlyindustrializedcountriesevidencefromnonparametricapproach