Optimal variational mode decomposition and integrated extreme learning machine for network traffic prediction

Network traffic prediction plays a vital role in effective network management, load evaluation and security warning. Extreme learning machine has the advantages of fast convergence speed and strong generalization ability. Also, it does not easily fall into local optima. The evolutionary algorithm ca...

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Main Authors: Jinmei Shi, Yu-Beng Leau, Kun Li, Huandong Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
English
Published: IEEE 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/30049/2/Optimal%20variational%20mode%20decomposition%20and%20integrated%20extreme%20learning%20machine%20for%20network%20traffic%20prediction-Abstract.pdf
https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/30049/1/Optimal%20variational%20mode%20decomposition%20and%20integrated%20extreme%20learning%20machine%20for%20network%20traffic%20prediction.pdf
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author Jinmei Shi
Yu-Beng Leau
Kun Li
Huandong Chen
author_facet Jinmei Shi
Yu-Beng Leau
Kun Li
Huandong Chen
author_sort Jinmei Shi
collection UMS
description Network traffic prediction plays a vital role in effective network management, load evaluation and security warning. Extreme learning machine has the advantages of fast convergence speed and strong generalization ability. Also, it does not easily fall into local optima. The evolutionary algorithm can be used to optimize the number of its hidden layer nodes. However, most of the existing evolutionary algorithms have some adjustable parameters which depend on subjective experience or prior knowledge. Hence, this can affect the model prediction accuracy. Given this context, this paper proposes a network traffic prediction mechanism based on optimized Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and Integrated Extreme Learning Machine (ELM). A Scalable Artificial Bee Colony (SABC) algorithm which has fewer adjustable parameters and can thus guarantee the accuracy and stability of the prediction mechanism is also proposed. It can be used in the optimization selection of VMD, Phase Space Reconstruction (PSR) and ELM to achieve higher prediction performance. Finally, we utilize Mackey-Glass, Lorenz chaotic time series of recognized benchmark and a WIDE backbone actual network traffic data to prove the validity of the proposed network traffic prediction mechanism.
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spelling ums.eprints-300492021-07-23T03:40:29Z https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/30049/ Optimal variational mode decomposition and integrated extreme learning machine for network traffic prediction Jinmei Shi Yu-Beng Leau Kun Li Huandong Chen QA Mathematics TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering Network traffic prediction plays a vital role in effective network management, load evaluation and security warning. Extreme learning machine has the advantages of fast convergence speed and strong generalization ability. Also, it does not easily fall into local optima. The evolutionary algorithm can be used to optimize the number of its hidden layer nodes. However, most of the existing evolutionary algorithms have some adjustable parameters which depend on subjective experience or prior knowledge. Hence, this can affect the model prediction accuracy. Given this context, this paper proposes a network traffic prediction mechanism based on optimized Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and Integrated Extreme Learning Machine (ELM). A Scalable Artificial Bee Colony (SABC) algorithm which has fewer adjustable parameters and can thus guarantee the accuracy and stability of the prediction mechanism is also proposed. It can be used in the optimization selection of VMD, Phase Space Reconstruction (PSR) and ELM to achieve higher prediction performance. Finally, we utilize Mackey-Glass, Lorenz chaotic time series of recognized benchmark and a WIDE backbone actual network traffic data to prove the validity of the proposed network traffic prediction mechanism. IEEE 2021-03-29 Article PeerReviewed text en https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/30049/2/Optimal%20variational%20mode%20decomposition%20and%20integrated%20extreme%20learning%20machine%20for%20network%20traffic%20prediction-Abstract.pdf text en https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/30049/1/Optimal%20variational%20mode%20decomposition%20and%20integrated%20extreme%20learning%20machine%20for%20network%20traffic%20prediction.pdf Jinmei Shi and Yu-Beng Leau and Kun Li and Huandong Chen (2021) Optimal variational mode decomposition and integrated extreme learning machine for network traffic prediction. IEEE Access, 9. pp. 51818-51831. ISSN 2169-3536 https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/stamp/stamp.jsp?tp=&arnumber=9388647 https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2021.3069280 https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2021.3069280
spellingShingle QA Mathematics
TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
Jinmei Shi
Yu-Beng Leau
Kun Li
Huandong Chen
Optimal variational mode decomposition and integrated extreme learning machine for network traffic prediction
title Optimal variational mode decomposition and integrated extreme learning machine for network traffic prediction
title_full Optimal variational mode decomposition and integrated extreme learning machine for network traffic prediction
title_fullStr Optimal variational mode decomposition and integrated extreme learning machine for network traffic prediction
title_full_unstemmed Optimal variational mode decomposition and integrated extreme learning machine for network traffic prediction
title_short Optimal variational mode decomposition and integrated extreme learning machine for network traffic prediction
title_sort optimal variational mode decomposition and integrated extreme learning machine for network traffic prediction
topic QA Mathematics
TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
url https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/30049/2/Optimal%20variational%20mode%20decomposition%20and%20integrated%20extreme%20learning%20machine%20for%20network%20traffic%20prediction-Abstract.pdf
https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/30049/1/Optimal%20variational%20mode%20decomposition%20and%20integrated%20extreme%20learning%20machine%20for%20network%20traffic%20prediction.pdf
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AT huandongchen optimalvariationalmodedecompositionandintegratedextremelearningmachinefornetworktrafficprediction