Unemployment rate in Malaysia: Does Okun’s Law & Philips curve exist?

Malaysia is on the track of becoming a developed country towards 2020. However, to achieve such target is not easy. Malaysia is expecting to reach the unemployment rate of 2.8% in the year 2020. Hence, the objective of this study is to examine determinants of unemployment rate in Malaysia from the y...

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Main Authors: Cherylad Jikunan, Siti Hajar Samsu, Beatrice Lim Fui Yee
Format: Proceedings
Language:English
English
Published: Universiti Malaysia Sabah 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/31476/1/Unemployment%20rate%20in%20Malaysia%2C%20Does%20Okun%E2%80%99s%20Law%20%26%20Philips%20curve%20exist-ABSTRACT.pdf
https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/31476/2/Unemployment%20Rate%20in%20Malaysia%2C%20Does%20Okun%E2%80%99s%20Law%20%26%20Philips%20Curve%20Exist.pdf
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author Cherylad Jikunan
Siti Hajar Samsu
Beatrice Lim Fui Yee
author_facet Cherylad Jikunan
Siti Hajar Samsu
Beatrice Lim Fui Yee
author_sort Cherylad Jikunan
collection UMS
description Malaysia is on the track of becoming a developed country towards 2020. However, to achieve such target is not easy. Malaysia is expecting to reach the unemployment rate of 2.8% in the year 2020. Hence, the objective of this study is to examine determinants of unemployment rate in Malaysia from the year 1982 to 2017. Secondary data is used and collected from the World Bank’s official website and the Department of Statistics Malaysia. The study employed the Johansen Cointegration test and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to identify the long and short-run relationship. Granger Causality test is used to find the causation between the unemployment rate and the variables studied. The result found all variables are cointegrated in long run and short run. Besides, all the variables have no causality with each other except for the LSEC variable (secondary education level). Inflation rate and GDP growth is found to be positively significant to unemployment rate. Thus, Okun’s Law and Philips Curve do not exist in Malaysia case. The inflation rate has been identified as the main determinants of the unemployment rate in Malaysia. The positive relationship it has with unemployment rate indicates in Malaysia case it is known as stagflation situation. Malaysia must formulate the economic policy that enable to lower inflation without exacerbate unemployment rate. In addition, policy makers should take a necessary action towards the issue of job mismatch and job vacancy in the labour market that may lead to exacerbate unemployment rate in Malaysia.
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spelling ums.eprints-314762021-12-22T01:15:29Z https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/31476/ Unemployment rate in Malaysia: Does Okun’s Law & Philips curve exist? Cherylad Jikunan Siti Hajar Samsu Beatrice Lim Fui Yee HD5701-6000.9 Labor market. Labor supply. Labor demand Including unemployment, manpower policy, occupational training, employment agencies Malaysia is on the track of becoming a developed country towards 2020. However, to achieve such target is not easy. Malaysia is expecting to reach the unemployment rate of 2.8% in the year 2020. Hence, the objective of this study is to examine determinants of unemployment rate in Malaysia from the year 1982 to 2017. Secondary data is used and collected from the World Bank’s official website and the Department of Statistics Malaysia. The study employed the Johansen Cointegration test and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to identify the long and short-run relationship. Granger Causality test is used to find the causation between the unemployment rate and the variables studied. The result found all variables are cointegrated in long run and short run. Besides, all the variables have no causality with each other except for the LSEC variable (secondary education level). Inflation rate and GDP growth is found to be positively significant to unemployment rate. Thus, Okun’s Law and Philips Curve do not exist in Malaysia case. The inflation rate has been identified as the main determinants of the unemployment rate in Malaysia. The positive relationship it has with unemployment rate indicates in Malaysia case it is known as stagflation situation. Malaysia must formulate the economic policy that enable to lower inflation without exacerbate unemployment rate. In addition, policy makers should take a necessary action towards the issue of job mismatch and job vacancy in the labour market that may lead to exacerbate unemployment rate in Malaysia. Universiti Malaysia Sabah 2021 Proceedings PeerReviewed text en https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/31476/1/Unemployment%20rate%20in%20Malaysia%2C%20Does%20Okun%E2%80%99s%20Law%20%26%20Philips%20curve%20exist-ABSTRACT.pdf text en https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/31476/2/Unemployment%20Rate%20in%20Malaysia%2C%20Does%20Okun%E2%80%99s%20Law%20%26%20Philips%20Curve%20Exist.pdf Cherylad Jikunan and Siti Hajar Samsu and Beatrice Lim Fui Yee (2021) Unemployment rate in Malaysia: Does Okun’s Law & Philips curve exist? https://drive.google.com/file/d/1fEDZliMTjTzkjDwn3BF86-eXNMa8Gnc5/view?usp=sharing
spellingShingle HD5701-6000.9 Labor market. Labor supply. Labor demand Including unemployment, manpower policy, occupational training, employment agencies
Cherylad Jikunan
Siti Hajar Samsu
Beatrice Lim Fui Yee
Unemployment rate in Malaysia: Does Okun’s Law & Philips curve exist?
title Unemployment rate in Malaysia: Does Okun’s Law & Philips curve exist?
title_full Unemployment rate in Malaysia: Does Okun’s Law & Philips curve exist?
title_fullStr Unemployment rate in Malaysia: Does Okun’s Law & Philips curve exist?
title_full_unstemmed Unemployment rate in Malaysia: Does Okun’s Law & Philips curve exist?
title_short Unemployment rate in Malaysia: Does Okun’s Law & Philips curve exist?
title_sort unemployment rate in malaysia does okun s law philips curve exist
topic HD5701-6000.9 Labor market. Labor supply. Labor demand Including unemployment, manpower policy, occupational training, employment agencies
url https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/31476/1/Unemployment%20rate%20in%20Malaysia%2C%20Does%20Okun%E2%80%99s%20Law%20%26%20Philips%20curve%20exist-ABSTRACT.pdf
https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/31476/2/Unemployment%20Rate%20in%20Malaysia%2C%20Does%20Okun%E2%80%99s%20Law%20%26%20Philips%20Curve%20Exist.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT cheryladjikunan unemploymentrateinmalaysiadoesokunslawphilipscurveexist
AT sitihajarsamsu unemploymentrateinmalaysiadoesokunslawphilipscurveexist
AT beatricelimfuiyee unemploymentrateinmalaysiadoesokunslawphilipscurveexist