Pre- and Post-COVID-19: The impact of US, UK, and European stock markets on ASEAN-5 stock markets

This study investigates the relationship between closing–opening prices of stocks in the US, UK, and European markets and the prices of stocks in the five Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN-5) markets, a group consisting of five founding members, namely, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippin...

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Main Authors: Izaan Jamil, Mori Kogid, Lim, Thien Sang, Jaratin Lily
Format: Article
Language:English
English
Published: MDPI 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/36062/1/ABSTRACT.pdf
https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/36062/2/FULL%20TEXT.pdf
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author Izaan Jamil
Mori Kogid
Lim, Thien Sang
Jaratin Lily
author_facet Izaan Jamil
Mori Kogid
Lim, Thien Sang
Jaratin Lily
author_sort Izaan Jamil
collection UMS
description This study investigates the relationship between closing–opening prices of stocks in the US, UK, and European markets and the prices of stocks in the five Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN-5) markets, a group consisting of five founding members, namely, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand. In particular, this study examines the impact of US, UK, and European stock market movements on ASEAN-5 stock markets before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. An autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach was employed on two independent data sets, representing prices of stocks before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. The results reveal that among the ASEAN-5 markets, only the Philippines had a cointegration relationship with the US, UK, and European markets before the crisis. However, almost all ASEAN-5 markets moved in tandem with the US, UK, and European markets during COVID-19, except for Thailand. These empirical findings also indicate that the stock markets in the two regions tended to co-move during the COVID-19 pandemic, implying a contagion effect. Further, the causality results also provide substantial evidence of contagion between markets during the pandemic. These results imply that the stock markets in ASEAN 5 are susceptible at the opening bell to the behaviour of US, UK, and European stocks. Therefore, investors or traders in ASEAN-5 should participate in foreign markets (other than the US, UK, and Europe) that do not exhibit cointegration relationships to better mitigate and manage risk at the opening bell, especially during a global crisis.
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spelling ums.eprints-360622023-07-20T01:25:22Z https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/36062/ Pre- and Post-COVID-19: The impact of US, UK, and European stock markets on ASEAN-5 stock markets Izaan Jamil Mori Kogid Lim, Thien Sang Jaratin Lily HG4501-6051 Investment, capital formation, speculation RA643-645 Disease (Communicable and noninfectious) and public health This study investigates the relationship between closing–opening prices of stocks in the US, UK, and European markets and the prices of stocks in the five Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN-5) markets, a group consisting of five founding members, namely, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand. In particular, this study examines the impact of US, UK, and European stock market movements on ASEAN-5 stock markets before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. An autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach was employed on two independent data sets, representing prices of stocks before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. The results reveal that among the ASEAN-5 markets, only the Philippines had a cointegration relationship with the US, UK, and European markets before the crisis. However, almost all ASEAN-5 markets moved in tandem with the US, UK, and European markets during COVID-19, except for Thailand. These empirical findings also indicate that the stock markets in the two regions tended to co-move during the COVID-19 pandemic, implying a contagion effect. Further, the causality results also provide substantial evidence of contagion between markets during the pandemic. These results imply that the stock markets in ASEAN 5 are susceptible at the opening bell to the behaviour of US, UK, and European stocks. Therefore, investors or traders in ASEAN-5 should participate in foreign markets (other than the US, UK, and Europe) that do not exhibit cointegration relationships to better mitigate and manage risk at the opening bell, especially during a global crisis. MDPI 2023-03 Article NonPeerReviewed text en https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/36062/1/ABSTRACT.pdf text en https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/36062/2/FULL%20TEXT.pdf Izaan Jamil and Mori Kogid and Lim, Thien Sang and Jaratin Lily (2023) Pre- and Post-COVID-19: The impact of US, UK, and European stock markets on ASEAN-5 stock markets. International Journal of Financial Studies, 11. pp. 1-21. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs11020054
spellingShingle HG4501-6051 Investment, capital formation, speculation
RA643-645 Disease (Communicable and noninfectious) and public health
Izaan Jamil
Mori Kogid
Lim, Thien Sang
Jaratin Lily
Pre- and Post-COVID-19: The impact of US, UK, and European stock markets on ASEAN-5 stock markets
title Pre- and Post-COVID-19: The impact of US, UK, and European stock markets on ASEAN-5 stock markets
title_full Pre- and Post-COVID-19: The impact of US, UK, and European stock markets on ASEAN-5 stock markets
title_fullStr Pre- and Post-COVID-19: The impact of US, UK, and European stock markets on ASEAN-5 stock markets
title_full_unstemmed Pre- and Post-COVID-19: The impact of US, UK, and European stock markets on ASEAN-5 stock markets
title_short Pre- and Post-COVID-19: The impact of US, UK, and European stock markets on ASEAN-5 stock markets
title_sort pre and post covid 19 the impact of us uk and european stock markets on asean 5 stock markets
topic HG4501-6051 Investment, capital formation, speculation
RA643-645 Disease (Communicable and noninfectious) and public health
url https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/36062/1/ABSTRACT.pdf
https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/36062/2/FULL%20TEXT.pdf
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AT limthiensang preandpostcovid19theimpactofusukandeuropeanstockmarketsonasean5stockmarkets
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