Dividend and Excess Return in China

Investors are always chasing excess returns. To examine the three driving factors affecting China A-share excess returns, namely systematic risk, idiosyncratic risk and market sentiment, this study divided A-shares into non-dividend and dividend-paying groups based on the Dividend Paid for Common Sh...

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Main Authors: Jiaqi Da, Annuar Md Nassir, Tek, Andrew Wei Saw, Hui Zhang, Wei, Theng Lau
Format: Article
Language:English
English
Published: Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/38455/1/ABSTRACT.pdf
https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/38455/2/FULL%20TEXT.pdf
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author Jiaqi Da
Annuar Md Nassir
Tek, Andrew Wei Saw
Hui Zhang
Wei, Theng Lau
author_facet Jiaqi Da
Annuar Md Nassir
Tek, Andrew Wei Saw
Hui Zhang
Wei, Theng Lau
author_sort Jiaqi Da
collection UMS
description Investors are always chasing excess returns. To examine the three driving factors affecting China A-share excess returns, namely systematic risk, idiosyncratic risk and market sentiment, this study divided A-shares into non-dividend and dividend-paying groups based on the Dividend Paid for Common Shares in the notes of the financial report. In addition, this study used the Capital Asset Pricing model, Single-Index model, Arbitrage Pricing theory and Fama-French three- and five-factor model to analyse the three main driving factors. The Gibbons-Ross-Shanken test was used to test the model validity, and the optimal model for each group was extracted. Our findings show that after analysing the optimal models within each group, it becomes evident that systematic risk indeed exerts an influence on both dividend-paying and non-dividend companies. Nevertheless, when considering four specific systematic risks (inflation, exchange rates, crude oil and interest rates), this study’s findings establish that these risks do not significantly impact the stock returns of any company group across all time periods. As for idiosyncratic risks, firm size and book-to-market factors emerge as substantial influencers across all firms. Additionally, market sentiment significantly affects the stock performance of small-sized dividend-paying companies.
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spelling ums.eprints-384552024-03-06T07:43:06Z https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/38455/ Dividend and Excess Return in China Jiaqi Da Annuar Md Nassir Tek, Andrew Wei Saw Hui Zhang Wei, Theng Lau HB1-3840 Economic theory. Demography HG4501-6051 Investment, capital formation, speculation Investors are always chasing excess returns. To examine the three driving factors affecting China A-share excess returns, namely systematic risk, idiosyncratic risk and market sentiment, this study divided A-shares into non-dividend and dividend-paying groups based on the Dividend Paid for Common Shares in the notes of the financial report. In addition, this study used the Capital Asset Pricing model, Single-Index model, Arbitrage Pricing theory and Fama-French three- and five-factor model to analyse the three main driving factors. The Gibbons-Ross-Shanken test was used to test the model validity, and the optimal model for each group was extracted. Our findings show that after analysing the optimal models within each group, it becomes evident that systematic risk indeed exerts an influence on both dividend-paying and non-dividend companies. Nevertheless, when considering four specific systematic risks (inflation, exchange rates, crude oil and interest rates), this study’s findings establish that these risks do not significantly impact the stock returns of any company group across all time periods. As for idiosyncratic risks, firm size and book-to-market factors emerge as substantial influencers across all firms. Additionally, market sentiment significantly affects the stock performance of small-sized dividend-paying companies. Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia 2023 Article NonPeerReviewed text en https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/38455/1/ABSTRACT.pdf text en https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/38455/2/FULL%20TEXT.pdf Jiaqi Da and Annuar Md Nassir and Tek, Andrew Wei Saw and Hui Zhang and Wei, Theng Lau (2023) Dividend and Excess Return in China. Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance, 19 (2). pp. 105-126. ISSN 1823-4992 https://doi.org/10.21315/aamjaf2023.19.2.4
spellingShingle HB1-3840 Economic theory. Demography
HG4501-6051 Investment, capital formation, speculation
Jiaqi Da
Annuar Md Nassir
Tek, Andrew Wei Saw
Hui Zhang
Wei, Theng Lau
Dividend and Excess Return in China
title Dividend and Excess Return in China
title_full Dividend and Excess Return in China
title_fullStr Dividend and Excess Return in China
title_full_unstemmed Dividend and Excess Return in China
title_short Dividend and Excess Return in China
title_sort dividend and excess return in china
topic HB1-3840 Economic theory. Demography
HG4501-6051 Investment, capital formation, speculation
url https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/38455/1/ABSTRACT.pdf
https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/38455/2/FULL%20TEXT.pdf
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