The impact of real effective exchange rate, gold prices and oil prices on stock market

This study estimates the asymmetric impact of the real effective exchange rate, gold prices, and oil prices on the stock market of selected Four Asian Tigers, namely Hong Kong and Taiwan, using monthly data from January 2005 to August 2023. The analysis employs autoregressive distributed lag and non...

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Main Authors: Xiu, Siow Yun, Wong, Hock Tsen
Format: Proceedings
Language:English
English
Published: Faculty of Business, Economics and Accountancy Universiti Malaysia Sabah 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/39338/1/ABSTRACT.pdf
https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/39338/2/FULL%20TEXT.pdf
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author Xiu, Siow Yun
Wong, Hock Tsen
author_facet Xiu, Siow Yun
Wong, Hock Tsen
author_sort Xiu, Siow Yun
collection UMS
description This study estimates the asymmetric impact of the real effective exchange rate, gold prices, and oil prices on the stock market of selected Four Asian Tigers, namely Hong Kong and Taiwan, using monthly data from January 2005 to August 2023. The analysis employs autoregressive distributed lag and non-linear autoregressive distributed lag models. Our study on the stock markets of Hong Kong and Taiwan reveals distinct, asymmetric effects of the real effective exchange rate, gold prices, and oil prices. In Hong Kong, a positive REER change positively impacts the market in the long run, while gold and oil prices demonstrate complex, asymmetric effects. Taiwan displays different patterns, with substantial impacts from REER changes. Short-term dynamics reveal gradual adjustments in Hong Kong and diverse influences in Taiwan, highlighting the significance of control variables like the China stock market and Money Supply. This study provides valuable insights for investors and researchers.
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spelling ums.eprints-393382024-07-31T04:09:30Z https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/39338/ The impact of real effective exchange rate, gold prices and oil prices on stock market Xiu, Siow Yun Wong, Hock Tsen HC10-1085 Economic history and conditions HG4501-6051 Investment, capital formation, speculation This study estimates the asymmetric impact of the real effective exchange rate, gold prices, and oil prices on the stock market of selected Four Asian Tigers, namely Hong Kong and Taiwan, using monthly data from January 2005 to August 2023. The analysis employs autoregressive distributed lag and non-linear autoregressive distributed lag models. Our study on the stock markets of Hong Kong and Taiwan reveals distinct, asymmetric effects of the real effective exchange rate, gold prices, and oil prices. In Hong Kong, a positive REER change positively impacts the market in the long run, while gold and oil prices demonstrate complex, asymmetric effects. Taiwan displays different patterns, with substantial impacts from REER changes. Short-term dynamics reveal gradual adjustments in Hong Kong and diverse influences in Taiwan, highlighting the significance of control variables like the China stock market and Money Supply. This study provides valuable insights for investors and researchers. Faculty of Business, Economics and Accountancy Universiti Malaysia Sabah 2023 Proceedings PeerReviewed text en https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/39338/1/ABSTRACT.pdf text en https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/39338/2/FULL%20TEXT.pdf Xiu, Siow Yun and Wong, Hock Tsen (2023) The impact of real effective exchange rate, gold prices and oil prices on stock market. https://submit.confbay.com/thisconf/dwnl?view=download&acid=1401
spellingShingle HC10-1085 Economic history and conditions
HG4501-6051 Investment, capital formation, speculation
Xiu, Siow Yun
Wong, Hock Tsen
The impact of real effective exchange rate, gold prices and oil prices on stock market
title The impact of real effective exchange rate, gold prices and oil prices on stock market
title_full The impact of real effective exchange rate, gold prices and oil prices on stock market
title_fullStr The impact of real effective exchange rate, gold prices and oil prices on stock market
title_full_unstemmed The impact of real effective exchange rate, gold prices and oil prices on stock market
title_short The impact of real effective exchange rate, gold prices and oil prices on stock market
title_sort impact of real effective exchange rate gold prices and oil prices on stock market
topic HC10-1085 Economic history and conditions
HG4501-6051 Investment, capital formation, speculation
url https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/39338/1/ABSTRACT.pdf
https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/39338/2/FULL%20TEXT.pdf
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