Intraday return of winners vs losers: Indonesian capital market evidence

The aim of this study is to determine intraday returns in the Indonesian capital market, using sample of 177 listed Indonesian companies from 2021-2022. This study adopts a multiple linear regression analysis, where the return of the last half hour as an endogenous variable consists of winners and l...

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Main Authors: Masyhuri Hamidi, Fajri Adrianto, Nanda Nanda, Eko Dwi Putra, Amer Azlan Abdul Jamal
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universiti Malaysia Sarawak 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/42874/1/FULL%20TEXT.pdf
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author Masyhuri Hamidi
Fajri Adrianto
Nanda Nanda
Eko Dwi Putra
Amer Azlan Abdul Jamal
author_facet Masyhuri Hamidi
Fajri Adrianto
Nanda Nanda
Eko Dwi Putra
Amer Azlan Abdul Jamal
author_sort Masyhuri Hamidi
collection UMS
description The aim of this study is to determine intraday returns in the Indonesian capital market, using sample of 177 listed Indonesian companies from 2021-2022. This study adopts a multiple linear regression analysis, where the return of the last half hour as an endogenous variable consists of winners and losers, the return of the first half hour of trading, the volume of the first half hour, overnight returns, and the USA index futures as an exogenous variable. The originality of this research aims to demonstrate empirical evidence on intraday returns by distinguishing winner & loser stocks and the relationship between the intraday returns of winners and losers with volume, overnight, and US index futures in the emerging market (Indonesia). We find that the first half hour of trading can impact future return. The return of the first thirty minutes is significantly positive on the return of the last thirty minutes for both winner and loser stocks. Further, the volume of the first half hour and the overnight return both positively influences on the last half hour return of the day for loser stocks. This study can offer valuable insights for investment portfolio strategies, especially regarding intraday returns. The findings of this research prove to be a valuable resource for investors when devising investment strategies in the stock market. Additionally, it provides guidance for regulators in establishing rules for stock trading, particularly in transactions involving trading robots.
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spelling ums.eprints-428742025-02-14T02:01:01Z https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/42874/ Intraday return of winners vs losers: Indonesian capital market evidence Masyhuri Hamidi Fajri Adrianto Nanda Nanda Eko Dwi Putra Amer Azlan Abdul Jamal HG3810-4000 Foreign exchange. International finance. International monetary system HG4501-6051 Investment, capital formation, speculation The aim of this study is to determine intraday returns in the Indonesian capital market, using sample of 177 listed Indonesian companies from 2021-2022. This study adopts a multiple linear regression analysis, where the return of the last half hour as an endogenous variable consists of winners and losers, the return of the first half hour of trading, the volume of the first half hour, overnight returns, and the USA index futures as an exogenous variable. The originality of this research aims to demonstrate empirical evidence on intraday returns by distinguishing winner & loser stocks and the relationship between the intraday returns of winners and losers with volume, overnight, and US index futures in the emerging market (Indonesia). We find that the first half hour of trading can impact future return. The return of the first thirty minutes is significantly positive on the return of the last thirty minutes for both winner and loser stocks. Further, the volume of the first half hour and the overnight return both positively influences on the last half hour return of the day for loser stocks. This study can offer valuable insights for investment portfolio strategies, especially regarding intraday returns. The findings of this research prove to be a valuable resource for investors when devising investment strategies in the stock market. Additionally, it provides guidance for regulators in establishing rules for stock trading, particularly in transactions involving trading robots. Universiti Malaysia Sarawak 2024 Article NonPeerReviewed text en https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/42874/1/FULL%20TEXT.pdf Masyhuri Hamidi and Fajri Adrianto and Nanda Nanda and Eko Dwi Putra and Amer Azlan Abdul Jamal (2024) Intraday return of winners vs losers: Indonesian capital market evidence. International Journal of Business and Society, 25. pp. 1-16. ISSN 1511-6670 http://dx.doi.org/10.33736/ijbs.7630.2024
spellingShingle HG3810-4000 Foreign exchange. International finance. International monetary system
HG4501-6051 Investment, capital formation, speculation
Masyhuri Hamidi
Fajri Adrianto
Nanda Nanda
Eko Dwi Putra
Amer Azlan Abdul Jamal
Intraday return of winners vs losers: Indonesian capital market evidence
title Intraday return of winners vs losers: Indonesian capital market evidence
title_full Intraday return of winners vs losers: Indonesian capital market evidence
title_fullStr Intraday return of winners vs losers: Indonesian capital market evidence
title_full_unstemmed Intraday return of winners vs losers: Indonesian capital market evidence
title_short Intraday return of winners vs losers: Indonesian capital market evidence
title_sort intraday return of winners vs losers indonesian capital market evidence
topic HG3810-4000 Foreign exchange. International finance. International monetary system
HG4501-6051 Investment, capital formation, speculation
url https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/42874/1/FULL%20TEXT.pdf
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