Mean reversion of the fiscal conduct in 24 developing countries.

In this paper, we examine the mean reverting behaviour of fiscal deficit by analysing the fiscal position of 24 developing countries. Using annual data over the period 1970–2003 and the series-specific panel unit root test developed by Breuer et al. (Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol...

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Main Authors: Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi, Lau, Evan
Format: Article
Language:English
English
Published: Blackwell Publishing Ltd 2010
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/15566/1/A%20new%20method%20for%20MR%20grayscale%20inhomogeneity%20correction.pdf
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author Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi
Lau, Evan
author_facet Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi
Lau, Evan
author_sort Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi
collection UPM
description In this paper, we examine the mean reverting behaviour of fiscal deficit by analysing the fiscal position of 24 developing countries. Using annual data over the period 1970–2003 and the series-specific panel unit root test developed by Breuer et al. (Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 64 (2002), pp. 527–546), we found the budget process for most developing countries fails to satisfy the strong-form sustainability condition. Further investigation shows the budget process for a majority of the countries is on a sustainable path (weak form) when a one-time, structural break is allowed in the model. Therefore, our empirical results suggest that the budget process in most of the sample countries is in accordance with the intertemporal budget constraint.
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spelling upm.eprints-155662015-08-28T02:20:50Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/15566/ Mean reversion of the fiscal conduct in 24 developing countries. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi Lau, Evan In this paper, we examine the mean reverting behaviour of fiscal deficit by analysing the fiscal position of 24 developing countries. Using annual data over the period 1970–2003 and the series-specific panel unit root test developed by Breuer et al. (Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 64 (2002), pp. 527–546), we found the budget process for most developing countries fails to satisfy the strong-form sustainability condition. Further investigation shows the budget process for a majority of the countries is on a sustainable path (weak form) when a one-time, structural break is allowed in the model. Therefore, our empirical results suggest that the budget process in most of the sample countries is in accordance with the intertemporal budget constraint. Blackwell Publishing Ltd 2010-07 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/15566/1/A%20new%20method%20for%20MR%20grayscale%20inhomogeneity%20correction.pdf Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi and Lau, Evan (2010) Mean reversion of the fiscal conduct in 24 developing countries. The Manchester School, 78 (4). pp. 302-325. ISSN 1463-6786 10.1111/j.1467-9957.2009.02140.x English
spellingShingle Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi
Lau, Evan
Mean reversion of the fiscal conduct in 24 developing countries.
title Mean reversion of the fiscal conduct in 24 developing countries.
title_full Mean reversion of the fiscal conduct in 24 developing countries.
title_fullStr Mean reversion of the fiscal conduct in 24 developing countries.
title_full_unstemmed Mean reversion of the fiscal conduct in 24 developing countries.
title_short Mean reversion of the fiscal conduct in 24 developing countries.
title_sort mean reversion of the fiscal conduct in 24 developing countries
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/15566/1/A%20new%20method%20for%20MR%20grayscale%20inhomogeneity%20correction.pdf
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