The ASEAN-5 future currency : maastricht criteria.

In this recent decade, many of the economists and policymakers attempted to investigate the suitability of the East Asian region to form a currency union and based on the European countries experience as a benchmark. This study aims to investigate the long run real convergence in GDP per capita grow...

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Main Authors: M., Azali, Wong, Kelly Kai Seng, Lee, Chin, Ahmad Nazar, Shafinaz
Format: Article
Language:English
English
Published: University Library of Munich, Germany 2008
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/17747/1/The%20ASEAN.pdf
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author M., Azali
Wong, Kelly Kai Seng
Lee, Chin
Ahmad Nazar, Shafinaz
author_facet M., Azali
Wong, Kelly Kai Seng
Lee, Chin
Ahmad Nazar, Shafinaz
author_sort M., Azali
collection UPM
description In this recent decade, many of the economists and policymakers attempted to investigate the suitability of the East Asian region to form a currency union and based on the European countries experience as a benchmark. This study aims to investigate the long run real convergence in GDP per capita growth among Malaysia, Thailand, Singapore, Indonesia, and the Philippines, over 1978 to 2004. The Dickey Fuller (DF) and Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) unit root tests were conducted at first difference of GDP per capita for each country; the results demonstrated that all countries GDP per capita are stationary at first difference. The results of the Bound Testing Approach (Auto - Regression Distributed Lag (ARDL)) indicated that there is a long run relationship betwee variables in the Maastricht Criteria. The results showed that interest rate, inflation rate and the debt ratio experience that negative relationship to the GDP per capita. However, the exchange rate and surplus (or deficit) ratio shown the positive related to the GDP per capita. Therefore, the findings showed the ASEAN 5 countries have fulfilled the Maastricht Criteria with consistent to expected sign(s) except for Singapore’ exchange rate and Indonesia’s debt ratio. Hence, those ASEAN 5 countries in this study have potential to form a single currency.
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spelling upm.eprints-177472015-10-23T07:13:23Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/17747/ The ASEAN-5 future currency : maastricht criteria. M., Azali Wong, Kelly Kai Seng Lee, Chin Ahmad Nazar, Shafinaz In this recent decade, many of the economists and policymakers attempted to investigate the suitability of the East Asian region to form a currency union and based on the European countries experience as a benchmark. This study aims to investigate the long run real convergence in GDP per capita growth among Malaysia, Thailand, Singapore, Indonesia, and the Philippines, over 1978 to 2004. The Dickey Fuller (DF) and Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) unit root tests were conducted at first difference of GDP per capita for each country; the results demonstrated that all countries GDP per capita are stationary at first difference. The results of the Bound Testing Approach (Auto - Regression Distributed Lag (ARDL)) indicated that there is a long run relationship betwee variables in the Maastricht Criteria. The results showed that interest rate, inflation rate and the debt ratio experience that negative relationship to the GDP per capita. However, the exchange rate and surplus (or deficit) ratio shown the positive related to the GDP per capita. Therefore, the findings showed the ASEAN 5 countries have fulfilled the Maastricht Criteria with consistent to expected sign(s) except for Singapore’ exchange rate and Indonesia’s debt ratio. Hence, those ASEAN 5 countries in this study have potential to form a single currency. University Library of Munich, Germany 2008 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/17747/1/The%20ASEAN.pdf M., Azali and Wong, Kelly Kai Seng and Lee, Chin and Ahmad Nazar, Shafinaz (2008) The ASEAN-5 future currency : maastricht criteria. MPRA Paper (10272). pp. 1-13. English
spellingShingle M., Azali
Wong, Kelly Kai Seng
Lee, Chin
Ahmad Nazar, Shafinaz
The ASEAN-5 future currency : maastricht criteria.
title The ASEAN-5 future currency : maastricht criteria.
title_full The ASEAN-5 future currency : maastricht criteria.
title_fullStr The ASEAN-5 future currency : maastricht criteria.
title_full_unstemmed The ASEAN-5 future currency : maastricht criteria.
title_short The ASEAN-5 future currency : maastricht criteria.
title_sort asean 5 future currency maastricht criteria
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/17747/1/The%20ASEAN.pdf
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