The forecasted accuracy of the bioenergy market in the EU-28 region

We developed and evaluated a new approach to investigate the accuracy of forecasted analysis findings of the bioenergy market in the European Union EU-28 between 2014 and 2020. This study tests the accuracy of forecasted analysis results by applying panel data analysis and using the ARIMA forecastin...

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Main Authors: Alsaleh, Mohammed, Abdul Samad @ Iammi, Abdul Rahim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Penerbit Universiti Malaysia Terengganu 2019
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/22989/1/The%20forecasted%20accuracy%20of%20the%20bioenergy%20market%20in%20the%20EU-28%20region.pdf
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author Alsaleh, Mohammed
Abdul Samad @ Iammi, Abdul Rahim
author_facet Alsaleh, Mohammed
Abdul Samad @ Iammi, Abdul Rahim
author_sort Alsaleh, Mohammed
collection UPM
description We developed and evaluated a new approach to investigate the accuracy of forecasted analysis findings of the bioenergy market in the European Union EU-28 between 2014 and 2020. This study tests the accuracy of forecasted analysis results by applying panel data analysis and using the ARIMA forecasting model. Testing the forecasted accuracy for the bio-energy market in the EU-28 zone resulted in an increase in the ratios of supply by 3.04 million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe), demand by 13.83 Mtoe and import by 13.39 Mtoe of bio-energy output, which is logical for achieving objectives of the 2020 National Renewable Energy Action Plan (NREAP). However, export rates are predicted to reduce markedly in all EU28 countries by 26.87 Mtoe because of the significant efforts of the EU-28 states to increase local demand of bio-energy products. This study contributes to the literature by providing an accurate forecasted analysis of the status of the bio-energy markets in the EU-28 zone till the end of 2020 for decision makers and other energy politicians.
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spelling upm.eprints-229892020-04-15T16:16:12Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/22989/ The forecasted accuracy of the bioenergy market in the EU-28 region Alsaleh, Mohammed Abdul Samad @ Iammi, Abdul Rahim We developed and evaluated a new approach to investigate the accuracy of forecasted analysis findings of the bioenergy market in the European Union EU-28 between 2014 and 2020. This study tests the accuracy of forecasted analysis results by applying panel data analysis and using the ARIMA forecasting model. Testing the forecasted accuracy for the bio-energy market in the EU-28 zone resulted in an increase in the ratios of supply by 3.04 million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe), demand by 13.83 Mtoe and import by 13.39 Mtoe of bio-energy output, which is logical for achieving objectives of the 2020 National Renewable Energy Action Plan (NREAP). However, export rates are predicted to reduce markedly in all EU28 countries by 26.87 Mtoe because of the significant efforts of the EU-28 states to increase local demand of bio-energy products. This study contributes to the literature by providing an accurate forecasted analysis of the status of the bio-energy markets in the EU-28 zone till the end of 2020 for decision makers and other energy politicians. Penerbit Universiti Malaysia Terengganu 2019 Article PeerReviewed text en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/22989/1/The%20forecasted%20accuracy%20of%20the%20bioenergy%20market%20in%20the%20EU-28%20region.pdf Alsaleh, Mohammed and Abdul Samad @ Iammi, Abdul Rahim (2019) The forecasted accuracy of the bioenergy market in the EU-28 region. Journal of Sustainability Science and Management, 14 (4). pp. 105-116. ISSN 1823-8556; ESSN: 2672-7226 http://jssm.umt.edu.my/wp-content/uploads/sites/51/2020/02/TABLE-OF-CONTENTS-JSSM-14.4-V3%C2%AD_.pdf
spellingShingle Alsaleh, Mohammed
Abdul Samad @ Iammi, Abdul Rahim
The forecasted accuracy of the bioenergy market in the EU-28 region
title The forecasted accuracy of the bioenergy market in the EU-28 region
title_full The forecasted accuracy of the bioenergy market in the EU-28 region
title_fullStr The forecasted accuracy of the bioenergy market in the EU-28 region
title_full_unstemmed The forecasted accuracy of the bioenergy market in the EU-28 region
title_short The forecasted accuracy of the bioenergy market in the EU-28 region
title_sort forecasted accuracy of the bioenergy market in the eu 28 region
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/22989/1/The%20forecasted%20accuracy%20of%20the%20bioenergy%20market%20in%20the%20EU-28%20region.pdf
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