Classification model for hotspot occurrences using a decision tree method

Forest fires in Indonesia mostly occur because of errors or bad intentions. This work demonstrates the application of a decision tree algorithm, namely the C4.5 algorithm, to develop a classification model from forest fire data in the Rokan Hilir district, Indonesia. The classification model used is...

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Main Authors: Sitanggang, Imas Sukaesih, Ismail, Mohd Hasmadi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis 2011
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/23879/1/Classification%20model%20for%20hotspot%20occurrences%20using%20a%20decision%20tree%20method.pdf
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author Sitanggang, Imas Sukaesih
Ismail, Mohd Hasmadi
author_facet Sitanggang, Imas Sukaesih
Ismail, Mohd Hasmadi
author_sort Sitanggang, Imas Sukaesih
collection UPM
description Forest fires in Indonesia mostly occur because of errors or bad intentions. This work demonstrates the application of a decision tree algorithm, namely the C4.5 algorithm, to develop a classification model from forest fire data in the Rokan Hilir district, Indonesia. The classification model used is a collection of IF-THEN rules that can be used to predict hotspot occurrences for forest fires. The spatial data consist of the location of hotspot occurrences and human activity factors including the location of city centres, road and river networks as well as land cover types. The results were a decision tree containing 18 leaves and 26 nodes with an accuracy of 63.17%. Each leaf node holds positive and negative examples of hotspot occurrences whereas the root and internal nodes contain attribute test conditions: the distance from the location of examples to the nearest road, river, city centre and the land cover types for the area where the examples are located. Positive examples are hotspot locations in the study area and negative are randomly generated points within the area at least 1 km away from any positive example. The classification model categorized whether the region was susceptible to hotspots occurrences or not. The model can be used to predict hotspot occurrences in new locations for fire prediction.
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spelling upm.eprints-238792016-04-18T06:51:17Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/23879/ Classification model for hotspot occurrences using a decision tree method Sitanggang, Imas Sukaesih Ismail, Mohd Hasmadi Forest fires in Indonesia mostly occur because of errors or bad intentions. This work demonstrates the application of a decision tree algorithm, namely the C4.5 algorithm, to develop a classification model from forest fire data in the Rokan Hilir district, Indonesia. The classification model used is a collection of IF-THEN rules that can be used to predict hotspot occurrences for forest fires. The spatial data consist of the location of hotspot occurrences and human activity factors including the location of city centres, road and river networks as well as land cover types. The results were a decision tree containing 18 leaves and 26 nodes with an accuracy of 63.17%. Each leaf node holds positive and negative examples of hotspot occurrences whereas the root and internal nodes contain attribute test conditions: the distance from the location of examples to the nearest road, river, city centre and the land cover types for the area where the examples are located. Positive examples are hotspot locations in the study area and negative are randomly generated points within the area at least 1 km away from any positive example. The classification model categorized whether the region was susceptible to hotspots occurrences or not. The model can be used to predict hotspot occurrences in new locations for fire prediction. Taylor & Francis 2011 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/23879/1/Classification%20model%20for%20hotspot%20occurrences%20using%20a%20decision%20tree%20method.pdf Sitanggang, Imas Sukaesih and Ismail, Mohd Hasmadi (2011) Classification model for hotspot occurrences using a decision tree method. Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk, 2 (2). pp. 111-121. ISSN 1947-5705; ESSN: 1947-5713 http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/19475705.2011.565807 10.1080/19475705.2011.565807
spellingShingle Sitanggang, Imas Sukaesih
Ismail, Mohd Hasmadi
Classification model for hotspot occurrences using a decision tree method
title Classification model for hotspot occurrences using a decision tree method
title_full Classification model for hotspot occurrences using a decision tree method
title_fullStr Classification model for hotspot occurrences using a decision tree method
title_full_unstemmed Classification model for hotspot occurrences using a decision tree method
title_short Classification model for hotspot occurrences using a decision tree method
title_sort classification model for hotspot occurrences using a decision tree method
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/23879/1/Classification%20model%20for%20hotspot%20occurrences%20using%20a%20decision%20tree%20method.pdf
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