Regional precipitation trend analysis at the Langat River Basin, Selangor, Malaysia

Various hydrological and meteorological variables such as rainfall and temperature have been affected by global climate change. Any change in the pattern of precipitation can have a significant impact on the availability of water resources, agriculture, and the ecosystem. Therefore, knowledge on rai...

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Main Authors: Palizdan, Narges, Falamarzi, Yashar, Huang, Yuk Feng, Lee, Teang Shui, Ghazali, Abdul Halim
Format: Article
Published: Springer Wien 2014
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author Palizdan, Narges
Falamarzi, Yashar
Huang, Yuk Feng
Lee, Teang Shui
Ghazali, Abdul Halim
author_facet Palizdan, Narges
Falamarzi, Yashar
Huang, Yuk Feng
Lee, Teang Shui
Ghazali, Abdul Halim
author_sort Palizdan, Narges
collection UPM
description Various hydrological and meteorological variables such as rainfall and temperature have been affected by global climate change. Any change in the pattern of precipitation can have a significant impact on the availability of water resources, agriculture, and the ecosystem. Therefore, knowledge on rainfall trend is an important aspect of water resources management. In this study, the regional annual and seasonal precipitation trends at the Langat River Basin, Malaysia, for the period of 1982–2011 were examined at the 95 % level of significance using the regional average Mann–Kendall (RAMK) test and the regional average Mann–Kendall coupled with bootstrap (RAMK–bootstrap) method. In order to identify the homogeneous regions respectively for the annual and seasonal scales, firstly, at-site mean total annual and separately at-site mean total seasonal precipitation were spatialized into 5 km × 5 km grids using the inverse distance weighting (IDW) algorithm. Next, the optimum number of homogeneous regions (clusters) is computed using the silhouette coefficient approach. Next, the homogeneous regions were formed using the K-mean clustering method. From the annual scale perspective, all three regions showed positive trends. However, the application of two methods at this scale showed a significant trend only in the region AC1. The region AC2 experienced a significant positive trend using only the RAMK test. On a seasonal scale, all regions showed insignificant trends, except the regions I1C1 and I1C2 in the Inter-Monsoon 1 (INT1) season which experienced significant upward trends. In addition, it was proven that the significance of trends has been affected by the existence of serial and spatial correlations.
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spelling upm.eprints-351912015-12-31T02:31:18Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/35191/ Regional precipitation trend analysis at the Langat River Basin, Selangor, Malaysia Palizdan, Narges Falamarzi, Yashar Huang, Yuk Feng Lee, Teang Shui Ghazali, Abdul Halim Various hydrological and meteorological variables such as rainfall and temperature have been affected by global climate change. Any change in the pattern of precipitation can have a significant impact on the availability of water resources, agriculture, and the ecosystem. Therefore, knowledge on rainfall trend is an important aspect of water resources management. In this study, the regional annual and seasonal precipitation trends at the Langat River Basin, Malaysia, for the period of 1982–2011 were examined at the 95 % level of significance using the regional average Mann–Kendall (RAMK) test and the regional average Mann–Kendall coupled with bootstrap (RAMK–bootstrap) method. In order to identify the homogeneous regions respectively for the annual and seasonal scales, firstly, at-site mean total annual and separately at-site mean total seasonal precipitation were spatialized into 5 km × 5 km grids using the inverse distance weighting (IDW) algorithm. Next, the optimum number of homogeneous regions (clusters) is computed using the silhouette coefficient approach. Next, the homogeneous regions were formed using the K-mean clustering method. From the annual scale perspective, all three regions showed positive trends. However, the application of two methods at this scale showed a significant trend only in the region AC1. The region AC2 experienced a significant positive trend using only the RAMK test. On a seasonal scale, all regions showed insignificant trends, except the regions I1C1 and I1C2 in the Inter-Monsoon 1 (INT1) season which experienced significant upward trends. In addition, it was proven that the significance of trends has been affected by the existence of serial and spatial correlations. Springer Wien 2014-08 Article PeerReviewed Palizdan, Narges and Falamarzi, Yashar and Huang, Yuk Feng and Lee, Teang Shui and Ghazali, Abdul Halim (2014) Regional precipitation trend analysis at the Langat River Basin, Selangor, Malaysia. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 117 (3-4). pp. 589-606. ISSN 0177-798X; ESSN: 1434-4483 http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00704-013-1026-6 10.1007/s00704-013-1026-6
spellingShingle Palizdan, Narges
Falamarzi, Yashar
Huang, Yuk Feng
Lee, Teang Shui
Ghazali, Abdul Halim
Regional precipitation trend analysis at the Langat River Basin, Selangor, Malaysia
title Regional precipitation trend analysis at the Langat River Basin, Selangor, Malaysia
title_full Regional precipitation trend analysis at the Langat River Basin, Selangor, Malaysia
title_fullStr Regional precipitation trend analysis at the Langat River Basin, Selangor, Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Regional precipitation trend analysis at the Langat River Basin, Selangor, Malaysia
title_short Regional precipitation trend analysis at the Langat River Basin, Selangor, Malaysia
title_sort regional precipitation trend analysis at the langat river basin selangor malaysia
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